Defense Acquisitions

Navy's Ability to Overcome Challenges Facing the Littoral Combat Ship Will Determine Eventual Capabilities Gao ID: GAO-10-523 August 31, 2010

The Navy's Littoral Combat Ship (LCS) is envisioned as a reconfigurable vessel able to meet three missions: surface warfare, mine countermeasures, and anti-submarine warfare. It consists of the ship (seaframe) and the mission package it carries and deploys. The Navy plans to invest over $25 billion through fiscal year 2035 to acquire LCS. However, recurring cost growth and schedule delays have jeopardized the Navy's ability to deliver promised LCS capabilities. Based on a congressional request, GAO (1) identified technical, design, and construction challenges to completing the first four ships within current cost and schedule estimates, (2) assessed the Navy's progress developing and fielding mission packages, and (3) evaluated the quality of recent Navy cost analyses for seaframes and their effect on program progress. GAO's findings are based on an analysis of government and contractor-generated documents, and discussions with defense officials and key contractors. This product is a public version of a For Official Use Only report, GAO-10-1006SU, also issued in August 2010.

The Navy faces technical, design, and construction challenges to completing the first four seaframes within current cost and schedule estimates. The Navy and its shipbuilders have learned lessons from construction of the first two seaframes that have positioned them to more effectively construct future vessels. However, technical issues with the first two seaframes have yet to be fully resolved. Addressing these technical issues has required the Navy to implement design changes at the same time LCS 3 and LCS 4 are being built. Incorporating changes during this phase will likely require additional labor hours beyond current forecasts. Together, these challenges may hinder the ability of shipbuilders to apply lessons learned to follow-on ships and could undermine anticipated benefits from recent capital investments in the LCS shipyards. Challenges developing mission packages have delayed the timely fielding of promised capabilities, limiting the ships' utility to the fleet during initial deployments. Until these challenges are resolved, it will be difficult for the Navy to align seaframe purchases with mission package procurements and execute planned tests. Key mine countermeasures and surface warfare systems encountered problems in operational and other testing that delayed their fielding. For example, four of six Non-Line-of-Sight Launch System missiles did not hit their intended targets in recent testing, and the Department of Defense has since canceled the program. Further, Navy analysis of anti-submarine warfare systems has shown the planned systems do not contribute significantly to the anti-submarine warfare mission. These combined challenges have led to procurement delays for all three mission packages. Mission package delays have also disrupted program test schedules--a situation exacerbated by early deployments of initial ships--limiting their availability for operational testing. In addition, these delays could disrupt program plans for simultaneously acquiring seaframes and mission packages. Until mission packages are proven, the Navy risks investing in a fleet of ships that does not deliver promised capability. The Navy entered contract negotiations in 2009 for fiscal year 2010 funded seaframes with an incomplete understanding of LCS program costs. These contract negotiations proved unsuccessful, prompting the Navy to revise its acquisition strategy for the program. The contractors' proposals for construction of the next three ships exceeded the approximate $1.4 billion in funds the Navy had allocated in its fiscal year 2010 budget. In response, the Navy revised its strategy to construct one seaframe design instead of two for fiscal year 2010 ships and beyond in an effort to improve affordability. Navy cost analyses completed prior to the failed negotiations in 2009 lack several characteristics essential to a high-quality cost estimate. These characteristics include the completion of sensitivity and uncertainty analyses and an independent review of the cost estimate. The Navy plans to complete a more comprehensive cost estimate before award of additional ship contracts in 2010. GAO recommends the Secretary of Defense take actions to ensure more realistic cost estimates, timely incorporation of design changes, and coordination of seaframe and mission package acquisition. The Department of Defense concurred with each of these recommendations.

Recommendations

Our recommendations from this work are listed below with a Contact for more information. Status will change from "In process" to "Open," "Closed - implemented," or "Closed - not implemented" based on our follow up work.

Director: Belva M. Martin Team: Government Accountability Office: Acquisition and Sourcing Management Phone: (202) 512-4285


GAO-10-523, Defense Acquisitions: Navy's Ability to Overcome Challenges Facing the Littoral Combat Ship Will Determine Eventual Capabilities This is the accessible text file for GAO report number GAO-10-523 entitled 'Defense Acquisitions: Navy's Ability to Overcome Challenges Facing the Littoral Combat Ship Will Determine Eventual Capabilities' which was released on August 31, 2010. This text file was formatted by the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) to be accessible to users with visual impairments, as part of a longer term project to improve GAO products' accessibility. Every attempt has been made to maintain the structural and data integrity of the original printed product. Accessibility features, such as text descriptions of tables, consecutively numbered footnotes placed at the end of the file, and the text of agency comment letters, are provided but may not exactly duplicate the presentation or format of the printed version. The portable document format (PDF) file is an exact electronic replica of the printed version. We welcome your feedback. Please E-mail your comments regarding the contents or accessibility features of this document to Webmaster@gao.gov. This is a work of the U.S. government and is not subject to copyright protection in the United States. It may be reproduced and distributed in its entirety without further permission from GAO. Because this work may contain copyrighted images or other material, permission from the copyright holder may be necessary if you wish to reproduce this material separately. Report to Congressional Requesters: United States Government Accountability Office: GAO: August 2010: Defense Acquisitions: Navy's Ability to Overcome Challenges Facing the Littoral Combat Ship Will Determine Eventual Capabilities: GAO-10-523: GAO Highlights: Highlights of GAO-10-523, a report to congressional requesters. Why GAO Did This Study: The Navy‘s Littoral Combat Ship (LCS) is envisioned as a reconfigurable vessel able to meet three missions: surface warfare, mine countermeasures, and anti-submarine warfare. It consists of the ship (seaframe) and the mission package it carries and deploys. The Navy plans to invest over $25 billion through fiscal year 2035 to acquire LCS. However, recurring cost growth and schedule delays have jeopardized the Navy‘s ability to deliver promised LCS capabilities. Based on a congressional request, GAO (1) identified technical, design, and construction challenges to completing the first four ships within current cost and schedule estimates, (2) assessed the Navy‘s progress developing and fielding mission packages, and (3) evaluated the quality of recent Navy cost analyses for seaframes and their effect on program progress. GAO‘s findings are based on an analysis of government and contractor-generated documents, and discussions with defense officials and key contractors. This product is a public version of a For Official Use Only report, GAO-10-1006SU, also issued in August 2010. What GAO Found: The Navy faces technical, design, and construction challenges to completing the first four seaframes within current cost and schedule estimates. The Navy and its shipbuilders have learned lessons from construction of the first two seaframes that have positioned them to more effectively construct future vessels. However, technical issues with the first two seaframes have yet to be fully resolved. Addressing these technical issues has required the Navy to implement design changes at the same time LCS 3 and LCS 4 are being built. Incorporating changes during this phase will likely require additional labor hours beyond current forecasts. Together, these challenges may hinder the ability of shipbuilders to apply lessons learned to follow- on ships and could undermine anticipated benefits from recent capital investments in the LCS shipyards. Challenges developing mission packages have delayed the timely fielding of promised capabilities, limiting the ships‘ utility to the fleet during initial deployments. Until these challenges are resolved, it will be difficult for the Navy to align seaframe purchases with mission package procurements and execute planned tests. Key mine countermeasures and surface warfare systems encountered problems in operational and other testing that delayed their fielding. For example, four of six Non-Line-of-Sight Launch System missiles did not hit their intended targets in recent testing, and the Department of Defense has since canceled the program. Further, Navy analysis of anti- submarine warfare systems has shown the planned systems do not contribute significantly to the anti-submarine warfare mission. These combined challenges have led to procurement delays for all three mission packages. Mission package delays have also disrupted program test schedules”a situation exacerbated by early deployments of initial ships”limiting their availability for operational testing. In addition, these delays could disrupt program plans for simultaneously acquiring seaframes and mission packages. Until mission packages are proven, the Navy risks investing in a fleet of ships that does not deliver promised capability. The Navy entered contract negotiations in 2009 for fiscal year 2010 funded seaframes with an incomplete understanding of LCS program costs. These contract negotiations proved unsuccessful, prompting the Navy to revise its acquisition strategy for the program. The contractors‘ proposals for construction of the next three ships exceeded the approximate $1.4 billion in funds the Navy had allocated in its fiscal year 2010 budget. In response, the Navy revised its strategy to construct one seaframe design instead of two for fiscal year 2010 ships and beyond in an effort to improve affordability. Navy cost analyses completed prior to the failed negotiations in 2009 lack several characteristics essential to a high-quality cost estimate. These characteristics include the completion of sensitivity and uncertainty analyses and an independent review of the cost estimate. The Navy plans to complete a more comprehensive cost estimate before award of additional ship contracts in 2010. What GAO Recommends: GAO recommends the Secretary of Defense take actions to ensure more realistic cost estimates, timely incorporation of design changes, and coordination of seaframe and mission package acquisition. The Department of Defense concurred with each of these recommendations. View [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-10-523] or key components. For more information, contact Belva Martin at (202) 512- 4841 or martinb@gao.gov. [End of section] Contents: Letter: Background: Ongoing Development of Key Seaframe Systems Could Impede Efficient Construction of Initial Follow-On Ships: Mission Package Delays Limit Ship Capabilities in the Near Term and Pose Risk to Efficient Execution of Program Acquisition and Test Plans: Incomplete Cost Analyses in the LCS Program Have Undermined Program Progress: Conclusions: Recommendations for Executive Action: Agency Comments and Our Evaluation: Appendix I: Scope and Methodology: Appendix II: GAO Methodology Used to Perform Cost Estimating Analysis: Appendix III: Comments from the Department of Defense: Appendix IV: GAO Contact and Staff Acknowledgments: Tables: Table 1: Systems Included in the Baseline LCS Mine Countermeasures, Surface Warfare, and Anti-Submarine Warfare Mission Packages: Table 2: Cost Growth on Initial LCS Seaframes: Table 3: Delays in Delivering Initial LCS Seaframes: Table 4: Navy's Progress Developing and Fielding Mine Countermeasures Mission Package Systems: Table 5: Navy's Progress Developing and Fielding Surface Warfare Mission Package Systems: Table 6: Navy's Progress Developing and Fielding Key Mission Package Support Aircraft: Table 7: Extent to Which the Navy's Total Ownership Cost Baseline Estimate for LCS Procurement Was Well-Documented, Comprehensive, Accurate, and Credible: Figures: Figure 1: LCS Seaframes: Figure 2: Operational Concept for LCS Mine Countermeasures Systems: Figure 3: Operational Concept for LCS Surface Warfare Systems: Figure 4: Recent Changes to Navy Mission Package Procurement Plans: Figure 5: Schedule of Key Near-term Events as Outlined in the LCS Program's 2009 and 2010 Acquisition Strategies: [End of section] United States Government Accountability Office: Washington, DC 20548: August 31, 2010: The Honorable Solomon Ortiz: Chairman: The Honorable J. Randy Forbes: Ranking Member: Subcommittee on Readiness: Committee on Armed Services: House of Representatives: The Honorable Gene Taylor: Chairman: The Honorable W. Todd Akin: Ranking Member: Subcommittee on Seapower and Expeditionary Forces: Committee on Armed Services: House of Representatives: The Navy's Littoral Combat Ship (LCS) is envisioned as a vessel able to be reconfigured to meet three different mission areas: mine countermeasures, surface warfare, and anti-submarine warfare. Its design concept consists of two distinct parts--the ship itself (seaframe) and the mission package it carries and deploys. The Navy currently plans to invest over $25 billion to acquire LCS seaframes and mission packages through fiscal year 2035. However, recurring cost growth and schedule delays in the program have jeopardized the Navy's ability to deliver promised LCS capabilities. In light of these developments, you asked us to evaluate LCS planning and implementation efforts. In response to this request, we (1) identified technical, design, and construction challenges to completing the first four seaframes within current cost and schedule estimates; (2) assessed the Navy's progress developing and fielding mission packages; and (3) evaluated the quality of recent Navy cost analyses for seaframes and their effect on program progress. This product is a public version of a For Official Use Only report, GAO-10- 1006SU, also issued in August 2010. To identify challenges to completing the first four seaframes, we analyzed Department of Defense and contractor-generated documents that addressed technical challenges and cost and schedule performance for LCS seaframes including sea trial reports for the first two ships, construction progress briefings, and monthly contract performance reports. We corroborated this information through discussions with officials responsible for managing LCS design and construction activities including Navy program officials, technical authorities, and requirements officers; LCS prime contractors and shipbuilders; and the Office of the Secretary of Defense. To assess the Navy's progress developing and fielding mission packages, we reviewed documents that outline LCS mission package plans and performance including program schedules and recent test reports. We also held discussions with Navy program offices and Department of Defense agencies responsible for acquiring and testing key LCS mission systems to gather additional information on remaining risks to mission package development and integration. To evaluate the quality of recent Navy cost analyses, we compared the Navy's total ownership cost baseline estimate for the LCS program against the characteristics inherent in high-quality cost estimates as outlined in our cost estimating and assessment guide.[Footnote 1] In addition, we interviewed LCS cost analysts and program officials to supplement our analysis and gain additional visibility into the Navy's process for developing its cost estimate. A more detailed description of our scope and methodology is presented in appendix I. We conducted this performance audit from July 2009 to August 2010 in accordance with generally accepted government auditing standards. Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain sufficient, appropriate evidence to provide a reasonable basis for our findings and conclusions based on our audit objectives. We believe that the evidence obtained provides a reasonable basis for our findings and conclusions based on our audit objectives. Background: LCS is designed to move fast and transport manned and unmanned mine countermeasures, surface warfare, and anti-submarine warfare systems into theater. For LCS, the seaframe consists of the hull; command and control systems; automated launch, handling, and recovery systems; and certain core combat systems like an air defense radar and 57- millimeter gun. The Navy is procuring the first four ships in two different designs from shipbuilding teams led by Lockheed Martin and General Dynamics. Lockheed Martin and General Dynamics currently build their designs at Marinette Marine and Austal USA shipyards, respectively. Figure 1 shows the first two LCS seaframes, USS Freedom (LCS 1) and USS Independence (LCS 2). Figure 1: LCS Seaframes: [Refer to PDF for image: 2 photographs] USS Freedom (LCS 1): USS Independence (LCS 2): Sources: Lockheed Martin (left); General Dynamics (right). Note: LCS 1 is a steel monohull while LCS 2 is an aluminum trimaran. [End of figure] The Navy is embedding LCS's mine countermeasures, surface warfare, and anti-submarine warfare capabilities within mission packages. These packages are comprised of unmanned underwater vehicles, unmanned surface vehicles, towed systems, and hull-and helo-mounted weapons. Table 1 identifies the systems included in the LCS mission packages. Table 1: Systems Included in the Baseline LCS Mine Countermeasures, Surface Warfare, and Anti-Submarine Warfare Mission Packages: Mine Countermeasures Mission Package: Airborne Laser Mine Detection System; Airborne Mine Neutralization System; AN/AQS-20A Sonar; Remote Minehunting System; Coastal Battlefield Reconnaissance and Analysis System; Organic Airborne and Surface Influence Sweep System; Rapid Airborne Mine Clearance System; Unmanned Surface Vehicle with Unmanned Surface Sweep System. Surface Warfare Mission Package: MK 46 30-Millimeter Gun System; Non-Line-Of-Sight Launch System and Missiles[B]; Maritime Security Module. Anti-Submarine Warfare Mission Package[A]: Multi-Function Towed Array; Remotely Towed Active Source; Multi-Static Off-Board Source; Remote Multi-Mission Vehicle; Unmanned Surface Vehicle; Unmanned Surface Vehicle Dipping Sonar; Unmanned Surface Vehicle Towed Array System. Source: Navy. Note: Aviation assets and support equipment including the MH-60R helicopter, MH-60S helicopter, MQ-8B Vertical Take-off and Landing Tactical Unmanned Aerial Vehicle, mission package computing environment, and stowage containers are not included. [A] The Navy is evaluating new configurations for future anti- submarine warfare mission packages. [B] The Navy planned to employ the Army's Non-Line-of-Sight Launch System and Missiles to provide LCS with a small boat engagement capability, but the program was canceled in May 2010 because of performance and cost problems. The Navy is evaluating alternative weapon systems to replace the Non-Line-of-Sight Launch System and Missiles. [End of table] Fundamental to the capability of the LCS seaframe is its ability to move quickly ahead of other ships and deploy its offboard sensors to secure lanes of transit. To deploy LCS's mine countermeasures and anti- submarine warfare systems, the Navy will rely extensively on (1) automated launch, handling, and recovery systems embedded in each seaframe and (2) helicopters and unmanned aerial vehicles. The Navy's acquisition approach is to populate initial versions of mission packages with a mixture of developmental and production-representative systems, gradually moving to all production-representative systems that constitute the baseline configuration for each package. The Navy plans to procure 55 seaframes and 64 mission packages (24 mine countermeasures, 24 surface warfare, and 16 anti-submarine warfare) as part of the LCS program. The Navy has required LCS seaframes to meet Level 1 survivability standards. Ships built to Level 1 are expected to operate in the least severe environment, away from the area where a carrier group is operating or the general war-at-sea region. These vessels should also maintain good handling in bad weather--including seas above 30 feet high (sea state 8)[Footnote 2]--and have systems for fighting fires on board the ships, hardening against electromagnetic pulses, and protection against chemical, biological, or radiological contamination. Unlike surface warships like cruisers and destroyers, Level 1 ships (including LCS) are not designed to maintain their mission capabilities after incurring substantive damage. Current ships in the fleet built to the Level 1 standard include material support ships, mine-warfare vessels, and patrol combatants. Two broad categories of contract types are available for government procurements, including ship procurement: fixed-price and cost- reimbursement. Fixed-price contracts provide for a firm price or, in appropriate cases, an adjustable price that may include a ceiling price, a target price, or both. This contract type places the risk on the contractor, who generally bears the responsibility of increased costs of performance. Cost-reimbursement contracts provide for payment of allowable incurred costs, to the extent prescribed in the contract. This contract type places most of the risk on the government, which may pay more than budgeted should incurred costs be more than expected when the contract was signed. The Navy awarded cost-reimbursable contracts for detail design and construction of the first two seaframes--LCS 1 and LCS 2--in December 2004 and October 2005 for $188.2 million and $223.2 million, respectively. It later exercised options on each of these contracts in June and December 2006 for construction of the third and fourth ships (LCS 3 and LCS 4). However, changing technical requirements, evolving designs, and construction challenges increased the government's estimated prices at completion for the LCS 1 and LCS 2 seaframes to about $500 million each. This cost growth precipitated concern within the Navy that similar outcomes were possible for LCS 3 and LCS 4. In response, the Navy reassessed program costs and structure, revisited the acquisition strategy for future ships, and entered into negotiations with its shipbuilders to convert the LCS 3 and LCS 4 contracts into fixed-price contracts. The Navy was unable to reach agreement with its shipbuilders on fixed-price terms for these ships, subsequently leading the Navy to terminate, in part, the LCS 3 and LCS 4 contracts in April and November 2007 for the convenience of the government. In March and May 2009, the Navy awarded new fixed-price contracts for LCS 3 and LCS 4. According to the Navy, work completed and materials procured under the terminated original contract options for LCS 3 and LCS 4--totaling approximately $192 million--are not included in the current contract values for those ships. In our work on shipbuilding best practices, we found that achieving design stability before start of fabrication is a key step that leading commercial shipbuilders and ship buyers follow to ensure their vessels deliver on-time, within planned costs, and with planned capabilities.[Footnote 3] Leading commercial firms assess a ship design as stable once all basic and functional design activities have been completed. Basic and functional design refers to two-dimensional drawings and three-dimensional, computer-aided models (when employed) that fix the ship's hull structure; set the ship's hydrodynamics; route all major distributive systems including electricity, water, and other utilities; and identify the exact positioning of piping and other outfitting within each block of the ship. At the point of design stability, the shipbuilder has a clear understanding of both ship structure as well as ship electrical, piping, and other systems that traverse individual blocks of the ship. To achieve design stability, shipbuilders need suppliers (also called vendors) to provide complete, accurate system information prior to entering basic design. This vendor-furnished information describes the exact dimensions of a system or piece of equipment going into a ship, including space and weight requirements, and also requirements for power, water, and other utilities that will have to feed the system. As is typical for all ships, the LCS construction phase includes several steps: block fabrication, assembly and outfitting of blocks, block erection, launch, and delivery. During block fabrication, metal plates are welded together into elements called blocks. Blocks are the basic building units for a ship, and when completed they will form completed or partial compartments, including accommodation space, engine rooms, and storage areas. Blocks are generally outfitted with pipes, brackets for machinery or cabling, ladders, and any other equipment that may be available for installation at this early stage of construction. This allows a block to be installed as a completed unit when it is welded to the hull of the ship. Installing equipment at the block stage of construction is preferable because access to spaces is not limited by doors or machinery, unlike at later phases. Blocks are welded together to form grand blocks and then erected with other grand blocks in a drydock or, in the case of LCS, in a building hall. Finally, once the ship is watertight and the decision is made to launch--or float the ship in water--the ship is then towed into a quay or dock area where final outfitting and testing of machinery and equipment like main engines will occur. Afterwards, the ship embarks on sea trials where performance is evaluated against the contractually required specifications and overall quality is assessed. Following sea trials, the shipyard delivers the ship to the buyer. LCS 1 was delivered to the Navy in September 2008, with LCS 2 following in December 2009. The Navy has also accepted delivery of five partial mission packages to date. Currently, LCS 1 is on deployment, LCS 2 is undergoing post-delivery work, and LCS 3 and LCS 4 remain in different stages of construction. In addition, development and testing activities for the mine countermeasures, anti-submarine warfare, and surface warfare mission packages continue. The Navy deployed LCS 1 two years ahead of its previous schedule and prior to the ship completing initial operational test and evaluation. The Navy also stated that early deployment is possible for LCS 2. Initial operational test and evaluation is intended to assess a weapon system's capability in a realistic environment when maintained and operated by sailors, subjected to routine wear-and-tear, and employed in typical combat conditions against a simulated enemy who fights back. During this test phase, the weapon system is exposed to as many actual operational scenarios as possible--a process that reveals the weapon system's capabilities under stress. Once the fleet has attained the ability to effectively employ and operate the weapon system, initial operational capability is achieved. Until September 2009, the Navy planned to continue buying both ship designs. In September 2009, the Navy announced it was revising the LCS program's acquisition strategy and would select one seaframe design before awarding contracts for any additional ships. In the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2010, Congress mandated a $480 million cost cap for each LCS, starting with fiscal year 2011 funded seaframes.[Footnote 4] In an effort to comply with this mandate, Navy officials have stated that a major program review (milestone B)--and completion of an independent cost estimate--will precede further contract awards in the program. Cost estimates are necessary for government acquisition programs, like LCS, for many reasons: to support decisions about funding one program over another, to develop annual budget requests, to evaluate resource requirements at key decision points, and to develop performance measurement baselines. A cost estimate is a summation of individual cost elements, using established methods and valid data, to estimate the future costs of a program, based on what is known today. The management of a cost estimate involves continually updating the cost estimate with actual data as they become available, revising the estimate to reflect changes, and analyzing differences between estimated and actual costs--for example, using data from a reliable earned value management system. Ongoing Development of Key Seaframe Systems Could Impede Efficient Construction of Initial Follow-On Ships: The Navy faces technical, design, and construction challenges to completing the first four seaframes within current cost and schedule estimates. The Navy and its shipbuilders have learned lessons from construction of the first two seaframes that can be applied to construction of future vessels. However, technical issues with the first two seaframes have yet to be fully resolved, posing risk of design changes to follow on ships already under construction. Addressing these technical issues has required the Navy to implement design changes at the same time LCS 3 and LCS 4 are being built. Incorporating changes during this phase may disrupt the optimal construction sequence for these ships, requiring additional labor hours beyond current forecasts. Together, these challenges may hinder the ability of shipbuilders to apply lessons learned to follow on ships and could undermine anticipated benefits from recent capital investments in the LCS shipyards. Cost Growth and Schedule Delays Have Hampered Construction of the First Four Ships: Initial LCS seaframes have required more funding and taken longer to construct than the Navy originally planned. The Navy has accepted delivery of the first two ships (LCS 1 and LCS 2), which, according to the Navy, reduces the likelihood of additional cost increases and schedule delays on those ships. Further, the Navy's decision to partially terminate, and later re-award, construction contracts for follow-on ships (LCS 3 and LCS 4) changed the planned delivery dates for those ships. Tables 2 and 3 highlight the cost growth and schedule delays associated with the first four ships of the class. Table 2: Cost Growth on Initial LCS Seaframes: Dollars in millions: LCS 1; Initial budget: $215.5; Fiscal year 2011 budget: $537.0; Total cost growth: $321.5; Cost growth as a percent of initial budget: 149.2%. LCS 2; Initial budget: $256.5; Fiscal year 2011 budget: $607.0[A]; Total cost growth: $350.5; Cost growth as a percent of initial budget: 136.6%. LCS 3-4; Initial budget: $1,260.7[B]; Fiscal year 2011 budget: $1,357.7; Total cost growth: $97.0; Cost growth as a percent of initial budget: 7.7%. Source: GAO analysis of President's budget data. Note: Fiscal year 2011 budget figures identified for LCS 1 and LCS 2 exclude funding associated with certain design, planning, and program management activities for these ships. These funds total $170.0 million and $177.0 million for LCS 1 and LCS 2, respectively. [A] Total excludes Department of Defense reprogramming actions in July 2010 that added $5.256 million in funding to complete post-delivery work on LCS 2. [B] Initial budget figure for LCS 3 and LCS 4 reflects the total Shipbuilding and Conversion, Navy (SCN) funds the Navy requested in fiscal year 2009 to construct two LCS seaframes plus the value of funds and materials applied from the two canceled, fiscal year 2006 funded LCS seaframes. Congress originally appropriated $440 million in fiscal year 2006 to construct these two ships. [End of table] Table 3: Delays in Delivering Initial LCS Seaframes: Ship: LCS 1; Initial planned delivery date: January 2007; Current estimated/actual delivery date: September 2008; Total construction delays: 20 months. Ship: LCS 2; Initial planned delivery date: October 2007; Current estimated/actual delivery date: December 2009; Total construction delays: 26 months. Ship: LCS 3; Initial planned delivery date: November 2012; Current estimated/actual delivery date: February 2012; Total construction delays: N/A. Ship: LCS 4; Initial planned delivery date: January 2013; Current estimated/actual delivery date: April 2012; Total construction delays: N/A. Source: GAO analysis of President's budget data. Note: Initial planned delivery dates for LCS 3 and LCS 4 reflect the planned schedules for two fiscal year 2009 funded LCS seaframes. Previously, the Navy funded these two ships in fiscal year 2006 and expected deliveries in October 2008. The Navy's decision to partially terminate construction contracts for the two fiscal year 2006 ships, coupled with Congress's decision to rescind appropriations for one fiscal year 2008 funded seaframe, account for several months of schedule gains realized for LCS 3 and LCS 4. [End of table] First Two Seaframes Delivered to the Fleet, but Technical Challenges Currently Limit Their Capabilities: The Navy accepted delivery of LCS 1 and LCS 2 with both seaframes in an incomplete state and with outstanding technical issues. After experiencing significant cost increases and schedule delays on these ships, the Navy judged it more cost efficient to accept the incomplete ships and resolve remaining issues post-delivery. According to Navy officials, this step afforded the Navy more control over remaining work and provided the ability to use repair yards that charge less than the builder in some instances. Although the ships are currently in service, the Navy continues to address technical issues on each seaframe. Addressing these issues has required the Navy to schedule extensive post-delivery work periods for each ship, which were not fully anticipated at the time of lead ship contract awards. For instance, to resolve the LCS 1 issues, the Navy allocated several months for two industrial post-delivery availability periods in 2009. A similar schedule is planned for LCS 2. The Navy has made significant progress resolving LCS 1 deficiencies. While challenges with several systems were identified at delivery, the Navy deferred testing of other systems until after delivery. The shipbuilder had not completed installation of several LCS 1 systems prior to delivery, contributing to Navy decisions to defer key elements of the ship's acceptance trials until later.[Footnote 5] Most notably, the Navy deferred testing of the ship's launch, handling, and recovery system--a system instrumental to deploying and recovering mission package elements that, if not performing adequately, will impair LCS capability. To date, a full demonstration of this system remains incomplete. Navy simulations to date have identified risks in safely launching and recovering mission systems that experience pendulous motion during handling--such as the remote multi-mission vehicle and unmanned surface vehicle systems. Navy officials stated, however, that the fleet successfully demonstrated operation and movement of an embarked 11-meter rigid-hull inflatable boat, having used one extensively for counterdrug operations in the Caribbean in March 2010. Another challenge for LCS 1 launch, handling, and recovery is the potential for unacceptably high water levels during high sea states in the waterborne mission zone--the area at the stern end of the ship designed to launch watercraft through stern doors and down a ramp directly into the water. Further, LCS 1's launch, handling, and recovery system has also experienced difficulty safely moving payloads on the ship. Most notably, payload handling cranes will not be installed until a future maintenance period in fiscal year 2013. Like LCS 1, the Navy identified several significant technical deficiencies on LCS 2 during that ship's acceptance trials. However, because LCS 2 was only recently delivered (December 2009), the Navy remains in the early stages of addressing the issues facing that ship. Similar to LCS 1, the Navy chose to accept delivery of LCS 2 prior to the shipbuilder completing installation of key systems. The incomplete condition of the ship contributed to Navy decisions to defer key elements of acceptance trials until after delivery. As was the case with LCS 1, these deferments included testing of the LCS 2 launch, handling, and recovery system for mission watercraft. LCS 2 is designed to employ a twin boom extensible crane system to launch, handle, and recover mission watercraft. This system includes the crane, synthetic lift lines, and a straddle carrier. The synthetic lift lines attach to the crane to retrieve watercraft, but remain an unproven, new capability to the Navy. Another risk to the system is the ability of the straddle carrier to interface with, maneuver, and return to stowage the rigid-hull inflatable boat, remote multi-mission vehicle, and unmanned surface vehicle systems--three of the largest watercraft the Navy plans to embark on LCS 2. According to the Navy, the straddle carrier was used to successfully move the remote multi- mission vehicle and unmanned surface vehicle during onboard trials in March 2010. Continuing Design Changes Could Hinder Efficient Construction of LCS 3 and LCS 4: The Navy's efforts to resolve technical issues affecting LCS 1 and LCS 2, implement cost reduction measures, and increase mission capability have led to design changes for LCS 3 and LCS 4, several of which are not yet complete. These design changes have affected the configuration of several major ship systems for LCS 3 and LCS 4 including propulsion, communications, electrical, and navigation. The Navy is working to implement these design changes concurrent with LCS 3 and LCS 4 construction activities. Incorporating design changes on the lead seaframes while the follow-on ships are under construction may disrupt the optimal construction sequence for LCS 3 and LCS 4, requiring additional labor hours beyond current forecasts. As we have previously reported, by delaying construction start until basic and functional design is completed and a stable design is achieved, shipbuilders minimize the risk of design changes and the subsequent costly rework and out-of-sequence work these changes can drive. [Footnote 6] Benefits Derived from Recent Process Improvements and Capital Investments in the LCS Shipyards May Not Be Fully Realized on Early Follow-On Ships: The Navy and its shipbuilders learned valuable lessons from the construction of the lead ships that can save time and money on the construction of follow-on ships. The shipbuilding teams have implemented process improvements based on these lessons and made capital investments in their yards in an effort to increase efficiency. Despite the various improvements to capacity and processes at the shipyards, capitalizing on these improvements might be challenging given the significant design changes still occurring in the program. As technical issues are resolved on the lead seaframes, this, in general, leads to redesign--and potentially costly rework-- for initial follow-on ships. Thus, while efficiencies will be gained as a result of the shipyards' improvement, remaining technical issues on the seaframes will likely continue to jeopardize the Navy's ability to complete the first four seaframes within planned cost and schedule estimates. Mission Package Delays Limit Ship Capabilities in the Near Term and Pose Risk to Efficient Execution of Program Acquisition and Test Plans: Challenges developing and procuring mission packages have delayed the timely fielding of promised capabilities, limiting the ships' utility to the fleet during initial deployments. Until these challenges are resolved, it will be difficult for the Navy to align seaframe purchases with mission package procurements and execute planned tests. Key mine countermeasures and surface warfare systems have encountered technical issues that have delayed their development and fielding. Further, Navy analysis of LCS anti-submarine warfare systems found these capabilities did not contribute significantly to the anti- submarine warfare mission. These challenges have led to procurement delays for all three mission packages. For instance, key elements of the surface warfare package remain in development, requiring the Navy to deploy a less robust capability on LCS 1. Mission package delays have also disrupted program test schedules--a situation exacerbated by decisions to deploy initial ships early, which limit their availability for operational testing. In addition, these delays could disrupt program plans for simultaneously acquiring seaframes and mission packages. Until mission package performance is proven, the Navy risks investing in a fleet of ships that does not deliver promised capability. Challenges Developing LCS Mission Package Systems Have Delayed Their Planned Fielding Dates: Development efforts for most of these systems predate the LCS program-- in some cases by 10 years or more. Recent testing of mission package systems has yielded less than desirable results. To date, most LCS mission systems have not demonstrated the ability to provide required capabilities. Further, the Navy has determined that an additional capability will be incorporated into future anti-submarine warfare mission packages. The existing anti-submarine warfare mission package procurement is temporarily suspended, and performance will be assessed during at-sea testing in 2010. In addition to the sensors, vehicles, and weapons included in each mission package, each LCS will rely on aircraft and their support systems to complete missions. Mine Countermeasures: Mine countermeasures missions for LCS will involve detecting, classifying, localizing, identifying, and neutralizing enemy sea mines in areas ranging from deep water through beach zones.[Footnote 7] We have previously reported on challenges the Navy faces in transitioning the mine countermeasures mission to LCS.[Footnote 8] Figure 2 illustrates how the Navy plans to employ the LCS mine countermeasures systems against mine threats. Figure 2: Operational Concept for LCS Mine Countermeasures Systems: [Refer to PDF for image: illustration] Depicted in the illustration: Mine threats: Near Surface mines (0‘ to 30‘ from surface); In Volume mines (30‘ from surface to 150‘ from bottom); Close-tethered mines (30‘ to 150‘ from bottom); Close-close tethered mines (

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