Medicare Managed Care

Growing Enrollment Adds Urgency to Fixing HMO Payment Problem Gao ID: HEHS-96-21 November 8, 1995

Enrollment of Medicare beneficiaries in health maintenance organizations (HMO) has soared in recent years, concentrated in some states and locales. This rapid growth in enrollment highlights the urgency of correcting Medicare's excessive payment rates to HMOs--particularly in certain areas. Likewise, enrollment stagnation elsewhere underscores the need to examine the causes of payment rate disparities among states and counties. Medicare's HMO payment method is plagued by three flaws. First, the rigidity of the formula-based fixed payment rate does not allow Medicare to capitalize on the competition among HMOs that, in the private market, leads to lower rates. Second, rate adjustment for differences in beneficiaries' health status are so imprecise that Medicare overpays HMOs that enroll beneficiaries in good health. Third, the reliance on a country's fee-for-service health care costs to establish a payment rate produces rates that vary considerably within market areas. GAO concludes that a sensible approach would be to pursue three promising strategies concurrently--foster price competition among HMOs, improve risk adjusters' accuracy, and allow for adjustments in the current formula to reflect market competition and HMO's local health care costs. The Health Care Financing Administration (HCFA) plans demonstration projects using competitive bidding and improved risk adjustment but results of a full-scale evaluation of these projects are years away. In the interim, HCFA should promptly gather and use valuable design and implementation data as it become available. HCFA's legislative authority to carry out these projects does not address managed care options explicitly, which raises questions about HCFA's authority to mandate HMO participation in the projects.

GAO found that: (1) since 1993, the annual increase in Medicare beneficiary HMO enrollment has exceeded 20 percent; (2) HMO enrollment increases have been concentrated in 15 states; (3) Medicare links HMO payment rates to the average cost of fee-for-service care and fails to adjust HMO payment rates to reflect beneficiaries' health status or local differences in utilization rates; (4) strategies to improve Medicare HMO payments include giving HCFA new authority to use competitive bidding or to negotiate with HMO, modifying the HMO rate-setting formula to include a health status risk adjuster, and requiring larger discounts from HMO in areas where HMO payment rates are too high; (5) HCFA could generate the most savings if it combines all three cost-reduction strategies and tailors the strategy to local conditions; and (6) although HCFA is planning demonstration projects using competitive bidding and improved risk adjustments, HCFA needs to gather and use available data to adjust HMO payments.

Recommendations

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