Estimated Temporary Medicaid Funding Allocations Related to Section 5001 of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
Gao ID: GAO-09-364R February 4, 2009Congress asked us to estimate the state allocations that would likely occur in the Federal Medical Assistance Percentage (FMAP) for the Medicaid funding included in Section 5001 of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, which is currently being debated by the Senate. This correspondence responds to your request for state-by-state, quarter-by-quarter estimates of the Medicaid funding states would receive under the section of the proposed legislation that temporarily increases the FMAP.
The legislation currently being considered in the Senate would provide (1) an increase in each state's FMAP of 7.6 percentage points for the Recession Adjustment Period identified in the legislation (the period from the first quarter of fiscal year 2009 through the end of the first quarter of fiscal year 2011), and (2) additional FMAP assistance based on increased unemployment as defined by the qualifying criteria outlined in the legislation if the state's unemployment rate increases at least 1.5 percentage points, but less than 2.5 percentage points (tier 1), at least 2.5 percentage points, but less than 3.5 percentage points (tier 2), or at least 3.5 percentage points (tier 3).
GAO-09-364R, Estimated Temporary Medicaid Funding Allocations Related to Section 5001 of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act
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GAO-09-364R:
United States Government Accountability Office:
Washington, DC 20548:
February 4, 2009:
The Honorable Max Baucus:
Chairman:
Committee on Finance:
United States Senate:
Subject: Estimated Temporary Medicaid Funding Allocations Related to
Section 5001 of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act:
Dear Mr. Chairman,
You asked us to estimate the state allocations that would likely occur
in the Federal Medical Assistance Percentage (FMAP) for the Medicaid
funding included in Section 5001 of the American Recovery and
Reinvestment Act of 2009, which is currently being debated by the
Senate. The following information responds to your request for state-
by-state, quarter-by-quarter estimates of the Medicaid funding states
would receive under the section of the proposed legislation that
temporarily increases the FMAP.
The legislation currently being considered in the Senate would provide:
* an increase in each state's FMAP of 7.6 percentage points for the
Recession Adjustment Period identified in the legislation (the period
from the first quarter of fiscal year 2009 through the end of the first
quarter of fiscal year 2011), and:
* additional FMAP assistance based on increased unemployment as defined
by the qualifying criteria outlined in the legislation if the state's
unemployment rate increases:
- at least 1.5 percentage points, but less than 2.5 percentage points
(tier 1),
- at least 2.5 percentage points, but less than 3.5 percentage points
(tier 2), or:
- at least 3.5 percentage points (tier 3). [Footnote 1]
To provide you with technical assistance, we developed an estimate of
Medicaid funding for the Recession Adjustment Period that would be
provided based on the parameters in the proposed legislation in order
to estimate temporary Medicaid funding allocations. For the first
quarter of fiscal year 2009, we used actual unemployment rates from the
Bureau of Labor Statistics Local Area Unemployment Statistics. To
estimate states' future unemployment rates, we relied on data from IHS
Global Insight, an economic forecasting firm. Projections of state
unemployment rates may or may not correspond to the levels of
unemployment states will actually experience in the future. We used
Medicaid data from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS)
to estimate states' funding allocations. States submit these data to
CMS and they represent states' anticipated Medicaid funding
requirements for the current and next fiscal year. These data may or
may not correspond to future Medicaid expenditures. See Enclosure 1 for
estimates of each state's approximate Medicaid allocation.
We are sending copies of this letter to interested congressional
committees. We will also make copies available to others upon request.
In addition, the letter will be available at no charge on GAO's Web
site at [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov].
If you or your staff has any questions about this letter, please
contact Stanley J. Czerwinski, Director, Strategic Issues, who can be
reached at (202) 512-6806 or czerwinskis@gao.gov, or Thomas J. McCool,
Director, Center for Economics, who can be reached at (202) 512-2700 or
mccoolt@gao.gov.
Sincerely yours,
Signed by:
Stanley J. Czerwinski:
Director, Strategic Issues:
Signed by:
Thomas J. McCool:
Director, Center for Economics:
Enclosures:
[End of section]
Enclosure I:
Estimated Temporary Federal Allocations to States under Section 5001 of
the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (Dollars in Billions):
Alabama;
2009 Q1: $0.090;
2009 Q2: $0.090;
2009 Q3: $0.098;
2009 Q4: $0.098;
2010 Q1: $0.103;
2010 Q2: $0.103;
2010 Q3: $0.103;
2010 Q4: $0.103;
2011 Q1: $0.103;
Total Allocation: $0.891.
Alaska;
2009 Q1: $0.024;
2009 Q2: $0.024;
2009 Q3: $0.027;
2009 Q4: $0.027;
2010 Q1: $0.026;
2010 Q2: $0.026;
2010 Q3: $0.026;
2010 Q4: $0.026;
2011 Q1: $0.026;
Total Allocation: $0.233.
Arizona;
2009 Q1: $0.202;
2009 Q2: $0.219;
2009 Q3: $0.219;
2009 Q4: $0.219;
2010 Q1: $0.235;
2010 Q2: $0.235;
2010 Q3: $0.235;
2010 Q4: $0.235;
2011 Q1: $0.235;
Total Allocation: $2.031.
Arkansas;
2009 Q1: $0.070;
2009 Q2: $0.077;
2009 Q3: $0.084;
2009 Q4: $0.084;
2010 Q1: $0.098;
2010 Q2: $0.098;
2010 Q3: $0.098;
2010 Q4: $0.098;
2011 Q1: $0.098;
Total Allocation: $0.806.
California;
2009 Q1: $1.159;
2009 Q2: $1.159;
2009 Q3: $1.159;
2009 Q4: $1.159;
2010 Q1: $1.189;
2010 Q2: $1.189;
2010 Q3: $1.189;
2010 Q4: $1.189;
2011 Q1: $1.189;
Total Allocation: $10.579.
Colorado;
2009 Q1: $0.078;
2009 Q2: $0.087;
2009 Q3: $0.097;
2009 Q4: $0.097;
2010 Q1: $0.100;
2010 Q2: $0.100;
2010 Q3: $0.100;
2010 Q4: $0.100;
2011 Q1: $0.100;
Total Allocation: $0.858.
Connecticut;
2009 Q1: $0.129;
2009 Q2: $0.129;
2009 Q3: $0.143;
2009 Q4: $0.143;
2010 Q1: $0.144;
2010 Q2: $0.144;
2010 Q3: $0.144;
2010 Q4: $0.144;
2011 Q1: $0.129;
Total Allocation: $1.250.
Delaware;
2009 Q1: $0.027;
2009 Q2: $0.030;
2009 Q3: $0.030;
2009 Q4: $0.034;
2010 Q1: $0.039;
2010 Q2: $0.039;
2010 Q3: $0.039;
2010 Q4: $0.035;
2011 Q1: $0.035;
Total Allocation: $0.308.
District of Columbia;
2009 Q1: $0.032;
2009 Q2: $0.035;
2009 Q3: $0.035;
2009 Q4: $0.035;
2010 Q1: $0.036;
2010 Q2: $0.036;
2010 Q3: $0.036;
2010 Q4: $0.036;
2011 Q1: $0.036;
Total Allocation: $0.316.
Florida;
2009 Q1: $0.469;
2009 Q2: $0.469;
2009 Q3: $0.469;
2009 Q4: $0.469;
2010 Q1: $0.476;
2010 Q2: $0.476;
2010 Q3: $0.476;
2010 Q4: $0.476;
2011 Q1: $0.476;
Total Allocation: $4.256.
Georgia;
2009 Q1: $0.175;
2009 Q2: $0.190;
2009 Q3: $0.190;
2009 Q4: $0.190;
2010 Q1: $0.204;
2010 Q2: $0.204;
2010 Q3: $0.204;
2010 Q4: $0.204;
2011 Q1: $0.204;
Total Allocation: $1.766.
Hawaii;
2009 Q1: $0.036;
2009 Q2: $0.036;
2009 Q3: $0.040;
2009 Q4: $0.040;
2010 Q1: $0.041;
2010 Q2: $0.041;
2010 Q3: $0.041;
2010 Q4: $0.041;
2011 Q1: $0.041;
Total Allocation: $0.358.
Idaho;
2009 Q1: $0.030;
2009 Q2: $0.033;
2009 Q3: $0.033;
2009 Q4: $0.033;
2010 Q1: $0.037;
2010 Q2: $0.037;
2010 Q3: $0.037;
2010 Q4: $0.037;
2011 Q1: $0.037;
Total Allocation: $0.313.
Illinois;
2009 Q1: $0.269;
2009 Q2: $0.300;
2009 Q3: $0.300;
2009 Q4: $0.300;
2010 Q1: $0.321;
2010 Q2: $0.321;
2010 Q3: $0.321;
2010 Q4: $0.321;
2011 Q1: $0.321;
Total Allocation: $2.774.
Indiana;
2009 Q1: $0.146;
2009 Q2: $0.159;
2009 Q3: $0.159;
2009 Q4: $0.159;
2010 Q1: $0.170;
2010 Q2: $0.170;
2010 Q3: $0.170;
2010 Q4: $0.170;
2011 Q1: $0.170;
Total Allocation: $1.473.
Iowa;
2009 Q1: $0.057;
2009 Q2: $0.057;
2009 Q3: $0.057;
2009 Q4: $0.066;
2010 Q1: $0.070;
2010 Q2: $0.070;
2010 Q3: $0.077;
2010 Q4: $0.077;
2011 Q1: $0.077;
Total Allocation: $0.607.
Kansas;
2009 Q1: $0.044;
2009 Q2: $0.051;
2009 Q3: $0.051;
2009 Q4: $0.056;
2010 Q1: $0.056;
2010 Q2: $0.056;
2010 Q3: $0.056;
2010 Q4: $0.056;
2011 Q1: $0.056;
Total Allocation: $0.480.
Kentucky;
2009 Q1: $0.108;
2009 Q2: $0.117;
2009 Q3: $0.117;
2009 Q4: $0.126;
2010 Q1: $0.127;
2010 Q2: $0.127;
2010 Q3: $0.127;
2010 Q4: $0.127;
2011 Q1: $0.127;
Total Allocation: $1.102.
Louisiana;
2009 Q1: $0.134;
2009 Q2: $0.144;
2009 Q3: $0.144;
2009 Q4: $0.153;
2010 Q1: $0.233;
2010 Q2: $0.233;
2010 Q3: $0.233;
2010 Q4: $0.233;
2011 Q1: $0.233;
Total Allocation: $1.742.
Maine;
2009 Q1: $0.048;
2009 Q2: $0.052;
2009 Q3: $0.052;
2009 Q4: $0.057;
2010 Q1: $0.056;
2010 Q2: $0.056;
2010 Q3: $0.056;
2010 Q4: $0.056;
2011 Q1: $0.056;
Total Allocation: $0.490.
Maryland;
2009 Q1: $0.146;
2009 Q2: $0.164;
2009 Q3: $0.164;
2009 Q4: $0.164;
2010 Q1: $0.193;
2010 Q2: $0.193;
2010 Q3: $0.193;
2010 Q4: $0.173;
2011 Q1: $0.173;
Total Allocation: $1.564.
Massachusetts;
2009 Q1: $0.286;
2009 Q2: $0.323;
2009 Q3: $0.359;
2009 Q4: $0.359;
2010 Q1: $0.338;
2010 Q2: $0.338;
2010 Q3: $0.338;
2010 Q4: $0.338;
2011 Q1: $0.338;
Total Allocation: $3.016.
Michigan;
2009 Q1: $0.233;
2009 Q2: $0.256;
2009 Q3: $0.256;
2009 Q4: $0.256;
2010 Q1: $0.259;
2010 Q2: $0.259;
2010 Q3: $0.259;
2010 Q4: $0.259;
2011 Q1: $0.259;
Total Allocation: $2.294.
Minnesota;
2009 Q1: $0.189;
2009 Q2: $0.210;
2009 Q3: $0.210;
2009 Q4: $0.210;
2010 Q1: $0.225;
2010 Q2: $0.225;
2010 Q3: $0.225;
2010 Q4: $0.225;
2011 Q1: $0.225;
Total Allocation: $1.944.
Mississippi;
2009 Q1: $0.075;
2009 Q2: $0.088;
2009 Q3: $0.093;
2009 Q4: $0.093;
2010 Q1: $0.102;
2010 Q2: $0.102;
2010 Q3: $0.102;
2010 Q4: $0.102;
2011 Q1: $0.102;
Total Allocation: $0.861.
Missouri;
2009 Q1: $0.150;
2009 Q2: $0.166;
2009 Q3: $0.181;
2009 Q4: $0.181;
2010 Q1: $0.195;
2010 Q2: $0.195;
2010 Q3: $0.195;
2010 Q4: $0.195;
2011 Q1: $0.195;
Total Allocation: $1.655.
Montana;
2009 Q1: $0.019;
2009 Q2: $0.019;
2009 Q3: $0.020;
2009 Q4: $0.020;
2010 Q1: $0.022;
2010 Q2: $0.022;
2010 Q3: $0.022;
2010 Q4: $0.022;
2011 Q1: $0.022;
Total Allocation: $0.189.
Nebraska;
2009 Q1: $0.031;
2009 Q2: $0.031;
2009 Q3: $0.035;
2009 Q4: $0.035;
2010 Q1: $0.041;
2010 Q2: $0.041;
2010 Q3: $0.041;
2010 Q4: $0.041;
2011 Q1: $0.041;
Total Allocation: $0.337.
Nevada;
2009 Q1: $0.046;
2009 Q2: $0.046;
2009 Q3: $0.046;
2009 Q4: $0.046;
2010 Q1: $0.049;
2010 Q2: $0.049;
2010 Q3: $0.049;
2010 Q4: $0.049;
2011 Q1: $0.049;
Total Allocation: $0.429.
New Hampshire;
2009 Q1: $0.022;
2009 Q2: $0.026;
2009 Q3: $0.026;
2009 Q4: $0.029;
2010 Q1: $0.032;
2010 Q2: $0.032;
2010 Q3: $0.032;
2010 Q4: $0.032;
2011 Q1: $0.032;
Total Allocation: $0.260.
New Jersey;
2009 Q1: $0.189;
2009 Q2: $0.213;
2009 Q3: $0.237;
2009 Q4: $0.237;
2010 Q1: $0.257;
2010 Q2: $0.257;
2010 Q3: $0.257;
2010 Q4: $0.257;
2011 Q1: $0.231;
Total Allocation: $2.134.
New Mexico;
2009 Q1: $0.062;
2009 Q2: $0.069;
2009 Q3: $0.075;
2009 Q4: $0.075;
2010 Q1: $0.084;
2010 Q2: $0.084;
2010 Q3: $0.084;
2010 Q4: $0.084;
2011 Q1: $0.078;
Total Allocation: $0.695.
New York;
2009 Q1: $1.099;
2009 Q2: $1.239;
2009 Q3: $1.379;
2009 Q4: $1.379;
2010 Q1: $1.447;
2010 Q2: $1.447;
2010 Q3: $1.447;
2010 Q4: $1.447;
2011 Q1: $1.447;
Total Allocation: $12.332.
North Carolina;
2009 Q1: $0.239;
2009 Q2: $0.261;
2009 Q3: $0.261;
2009 Q4: $0.261;
2010 Q1: $0.277;
2010 Q2: $0.277;
2010 Q3: $0.277;
2010 Q4: $0.277;
2011 Q1: $0.277;
Total Allocation: $2.406.
North Dakota;
2009 Q1: $0.011;
2009 Q2: $0.011;
2009 Q3: $0.011;
2009 Q4: $0.013;
2010 Q1: $0.016;
2010 Q2: $0.016;
2010 Q3: $0.016;
2010 Q4: $0.014;
2011 Q1: $0.014;
Total Allocation: $0.123.
Ohio;
2009 Q1: $0.288;
2009 Q2: $0.318;
2009 Q3: $0.348;
2009 Q4: $0.348;
2010 Q1: $0.359;
2010 Q2: $0.359;
2010 Q3: $0.359;
2010 Q4: $0.359;
2011 Q1: $0.359;
Total Allocation: $3.097.
Oklahoma;
2009 Q1: $0.086;
2009 Q2: $0.095;
2009 Q3: $0.103;
2009 Q4: $0.111;
2010 Q1: $0.126;
2010 Q2: $0.126;
2010 Q3: $0.126;
2010 Q4: $0.126;
2011 Q1: $0.126;
Total Allocation: $1.025.
Oregon;
2009 Q1: $0.085;
2009 Q2: $0.093;
2009 Q3: $0.093;
2009 Q4: $0.093;
2010 Q1: $0.095;
2010 Q2: $0.095;
2010 Q3: $0.095;
2010 Q4: $0.095;
2011 Q1: $0.095;
Total Allocation: $0.840.
Pennsylvania;
2009 Q1: $0.369;
2009 Q2: $0.413;
2009 Q3: $0.413;
2009 Q4: $0.457;
2010 Q1: $0.481;
2010 Q2: $0.481;
2010 Q3: $0.481;
2010 Q4: $0.481;
2011 Q1: $0.481;
Total Allocation: $4.054.
Rhode Island;
2009 Q1: $0.049;
2009 Q2: $0.049;
2009 Q3: $0.049;
2009 Q4: $0.049;
2010 Q1: $0.050;
2010 Q2: $0.050;
2010 Q3: $0.050;
2010 Q4: $0.050;
2011 Q1: $0.050;
Total Allocation: $0.445.
South Carolina;
2009 Q1: $0.095;
2009 Q2: $0.102;
2009 Q3: $0.102;
2009 Q4: $0.102;
2010 Q1: $0.101;
2010 Q2: $0.101;
2010 Q3: $0.101;
2010 Q4: $0.101;
2011 Q1: $0.101;
Total Allocation: $0.908.
South Dakota;
2009 Q1: $0.013;
2009 Q2: $0.013;
2009 Q3: $0.015;
2009 Q4: $0.015;
2010 Q1: $0.015;
2010 Q2: $0.016;
2010 Q3: $0.016;
2010 Q4: $0.016;
2011 Q1: $0.016;
Total Allocation: $0.134.
Tennessee;
2009 Q1: $0.168;
2009 Q2: $0.183;
2009 Q3: $0.183;
2009 Q4: $0.183;
2010 Q1: $0.188;
2010 Q2: $0.188;
2010 Q3: $0.188;
2010 Q4: $0.188;
2011 Q1: $0.188;
Total Allocation: $1.656.
Texas;
2009 Q1: $0.536;
2009 Q2: $0.536;
2009 Q3: $0.587;
2009 Q4: $0.587;
2010 Q1: $0.657;
2010 Q2: $0.657;
2010 Q3: $0.657;
2010 Q4: $0.657;
2011 Q1: $0.657;
Total Allocation: $5.533.
Utah;
2009 Q1: $0.034;
2009 Q2: $0.038;
2009 Q3: $0.041;
2009 Q4: $0.041;
2010 Q1: $0.040;
2010 Q2: $0.040;
2010 Q3: $0.040;
2010 Q4: $0.040;
2011 Q1: $0.040;
Total Allocation: $0.354.
Vermont;
2009 Q1: $0.025;
2009 Q2: $0.028;
2009 Q3: $0.030;
2009 Q4: $0.030;
2010 Q1: $0.033;
2010 Q2: $0.033;
2010 Q3: $0.033;
2010 Q4: $0.033;
2011 Q1: $0.033;
Total Allocation: $0.280.
Virginia;
2009 Q1: $0.130;
2009 Q2: $0.146;
2009 Q3: $0.146;
2009 Q4: $0.146;
2010 Q1: $0.175;
2010 Q2: $0.175;
2010 Q3: $0.175;
2010 Q4: $0.175;
2011 Q1: $0.175;
Total Allocation: $1.442.
Washington;
2009 Q1: $0.173;
2009 Q2: $0.193;
2009 Q3: $0.214;
2009 Q4: $0.214;
2010 Q1: $0.245;
2010 Q2: $0.245;
2010 Q3: $0.245;
2010 Q4: $0.245;
2011 Q1: $0.245;
Total Allocation: $2.020.
West Virginia;
2009 Q1: $0.048;
2009 Q2: $0.048;
2009 Q3: $0.053;
2009 Q4: $0.057;
2010 Q1: $0.057;
2010 Q2: $0.061;
2010 Q3: $0.061;
2010 Q4: $0.061;
2011 Q1: $0.057;
Total Allocation: $0.503.
Wisconsin;
2009 Q1: $0.109;
2009 Q2: $0.126;
2009 Q3: $0.140;
2009 Q4: $0.154;
2010 Q1: $0.157;
2010 Q2: $0.157;
2010 Q3: $0.157;
2010 Q4: $0.157;
2011 Q1: $0.157;
Total Allocation: $1.315.
Wyoming;
2009 Q1: $0.010;
2009 Q2: $0.010;
2009 Q3: $0.012;
2009 Q4: $0.012;
2010 Q1: $0.015;
2010 Q2: $0.015;
2010 Q3: $0.015;
2010 Q4: $0.015;
2011 Q1: $0.015;
Total Allocation: $0.117.
Total;
2009 Q1: $8.338;
2009 Q2: $8.971;
2009 Q3: $9.387;
2009 Q4: $9.503;
2010 Q1: $10.090;
2010 Q2: $10.096;
2010 Q3: $10.103;
2010 Q4: $10.078;
2011 Q1: $10.027;
Total Allocation: $86.593.
Source: Data from Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Centers for
Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), IHS Global Insight, and GAO
analysis.
Note: GAO calculations based on unemployment rates from IHS Global
Insight regional forecast, historical BLS data via Global Insight, and
actual Federal Medical Assistance Percentage (FMAP) rates for 2008
through 2010. Years shown are federal fiscal years. Medicaid data are
from the CMS Form 37. The CMS Form 37 is used to estimate federal
Medicaid allocations. CMS Form 37 data are not available for fiscal
year 2011. We used CMS Form 37 data for the fourth quarter of fiscal
year 2010 as a proxy for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. We
relied on the methodology outlined in our 2006 report on strategies to
help states address increased Medicaid expenditures during economic
downturns to guide the development of these estimates. See GAO,
Medicaid: Strategies to Help States Address Increased Expenditures
during Economic Downturns, GAO-07-97 (Washington, D.C.: Oct. 18, 2006).
[End of table]
Estimated Tiers of Additional Temporary Federal Allocations to States
under Section 5001 of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act:
Alabama;
2009 Q1: 2;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Alaska;
2009 Q1: Base;
2009 Q2: Base;
2009 Q3: 1;
2009 Q4: 1;
2010 Q1: 1;
2010 Q2: 1;
2010 Q3: 1;
2010 Q4: 1;
2011 Q1: 1,
Arizona;
2009 Q1: 2;
2009 Q2: 3;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Arkansas;
2009 Q1: Base;
2009 Q2: 1;
2009 Q3: 2;
2009 Q4: 2;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
California;
2009 Q1: 3;
2009 Q2: 3;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Colorado;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Connecticut;
2009 Q1: 2;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 2.
Delaware;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 2;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 2;
2011 Q1: 2.
District of Columbia;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 2;
2009 Q4: 2;
2010 Q1: 2;
2010 Q2: 2;
2010 Q3: 2;
2010 Q4: 2;
2011 Q1: 2.
Florida;
2009 Q1: 3;
2009 Q2: 3;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Georgia;
2009 Q1: 2;
2009 Q2: 3;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Hawaii;
2009 Q1: 2;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Idaho;
2009 Q1: 2;
2009 Q2: 3;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Illinois;
2009 Q1: 2;
2009 Q2: 3;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Indiana;
2009 Q1: 2;
2009 Q2: 3;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Iowa;
2009 Q1: Base;
2009 Q2: Base;
2009 Q3: Base;
2009 Q4: 1;
2010 Q1: 1;
2010 Q2: 1;
2010 Q3: 2;
2010 Q4: 2;
2011 Q1: 2.
Kansas;
2009 Q1: Base;
2009 Q2: 1;
2009 Q3: 1;
2009 Q4: 2;
2010 Q1: 2;
2010 Q2: 2;
2010 Q3: 2;
2010 Q4: 2;
2011 Q1: 2.
Kentucky;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 2;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Louisiana;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 2;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Maine;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 2;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Maryland;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 2;
2009 Q4: 2;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 2;
2011 Q1: 2.
Massachusetts;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Michigan;
2009 Q1: 2;
2009 Q2: 3;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Minnesota;
2009 Q1: 2;
2009 Q2: 3;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Mississippi;
2009 Q1: Base;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Missouri;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Montana;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 1;
2009 Q3: 2;
2009 Q4: 2;
2010 Q1: 2;
2010 Q2: 2;
2010 Q3: 2;
2010 Q4: 2;
2011 Q1: 2.
Nebraska;
2009 Q1: Base;
2009 Q2: Base;
2009 Q3: 1;
2009 Q4: 1;
2010 Q1: 2;
2010 Q2: 2;
2010 Q3: 2;
2010 Q4: 2;
2011 Q1: 2.
Nevada;
2009 Q1: 3;
2009 Q2: 3;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
New Hampshire;
2009 Q1: Base;
2009 Q2: 1;
2009 Q3: 1;
2009 Q4: 2;
2010 Q1: 2;
2010 Q2: 2;
2010 Q3: 2;
2010 Q4: 2;
2011 Q1: 2.
New Jersey;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 2.
New Mexico;
2009 Q1: Base;
2009 Q2: 1;
2009 Q3: 2;
2009 Q4: 2;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 2.
New York;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
North Carolina;
2009 Q1: 2;
2009 Q2: 3;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
North Dakota;
2009 Q1: Base;
2009 Q2: Base;
2009 Q3: Base;
2009 Q4: 1;
2010 Q1: 2;
2010 Q2: 2;
2010 Q3: 2;
2010 Q4: 1;
2011 Q1: 1.
Ohio;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Oklahoma;
2009 Q1: Base;
2009 Q2: 1;
2009 Q3: 2;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Oregon;
2009 Q1: 2;
2009 Q2: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Pennsylvania;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 2;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Rhode Island;
2009 Q1: 3;
2009 Q2: 3;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
South Carolina;
2009 Q1: 2;
2009 Q2: 3;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
South Dakota;
2009 Q1: Base;
2009 Q2: Base;
2009 Q3: 1;
2009 Q4: 1;
2010 Q1: 1;
2010 Q2: 2;
2010 Q3: 2;
2010 Q4: 2;
2011 Q1: 2.
Tennessee;
2009 Q1: 2;
2009 Q2: 3;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Texas;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 1;
2009 Q3: 2;
2009 Q4: 2;
2010 Q1: 2;
2010 Q2: 2;
2010 Q3: 2;
2010 Q4: 2;
2011 Q1: 2.
Utah;
2009 Q1: Base;
2009 Q2: 1;
2009 Q3: 2;
2009 Q4: 2;
2010 Q1: 2;
2010 Q2: 2;
2010 Q3: 2;
2010 Q4: 2;
2011 Q1: 2.
Vermont;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Virginia;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 2;
2009 Q4: 2;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Washington;
2009 Q1: 1;
2009 Q2: 2;
2009 Q3: 3;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
West Virginia;
2009 Q1: Base;
2009 Q2: Base;
2009 Q3: 1;
2009 Q4: 2;
2010 Q1: 2;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 2.
Wisconsin;
2009 Q1: Base;
2009 Q2: 1;
2009 Q3: 2;
2009 Q4: 3;
2010 Q1: 3;
2010 Q2: 3;
2010 Q3: 3;
2010 Q4: 3;
2011 Q1: 3.
Wyoming;
2009 Q1: Base;
2009 Q2: Base;
2009 Q3: 1;
2009 Q4: 1;
2010 Q1: 2;
2010 Q2: 2;
2010 Q3: 2;
2010 Q4: 2;
2011 Q1: 2.
Source: Data from Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), IHS Global Insight,
and GAO analysis.
Note: GAO calculations based on unemployment rates from IHS Global
Insight Regional forecast (January 2009) and historical BLS data via
Global Insight data base. Base indicates that the state does not
receive additional funding allocations based on unemployment rate
increases. Tiers 1, 2, and 3 reflect the qualifying criteria for
additional relief based on states' unemployment rate increases as
outlined in section 5001 of the proposed legislation. Tier 1 is for
unemployment rate increases of at least 1.5 percentage points, but less
than 2.5 percentage points. Tier 2 is for unemployment rate increases
of at least at least 2.5 percentage points, but less than 3.5
percentage points. Tier 3 is for unemployment rate increases of at
least 3.5 percentage points.
[End of table]
[End of section]
Enclosure II: GAO Contacts and Staff Acknowledgments:
For information about this letter, please contact Stanley J.
Czerwinski, Director, Strategic Issues, who can be reached at (202) 512-
6806 or czerwinskis@gao.gov, or Thomas J. McCool, Director, Center for
Economics, at (202) 512-2700 or mccoolt@gao.gov. Contact points for our
Offices of Congressional Relations and Public Affairs may be found on
the last page of this letter. Individuals making key contributions to
this letter and related products include: Robert Dinkelmeyer, Greg
Dybalski, Susan J. Irving, Thomas James, Michelle Sager, Max Sawicky,
Michael Springer, and Carolyn L. Yocom.
[End of section]
Footnote:
[1] These provisions are explained in additional detail in Section 5001
of the proposed legislation.
[End of section]
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