Year 2000 Computing Crisis

Strong Leadership and Effective Public/Private Cooperation Needed to Avoid Major Disruptions Gao ID: T-AIMD-98-101 March 18, 1998

Although progress has been made in addressing the federal government's handling of the Year 2000 computing crisis, serious vulnerabilities remain. Many agencies are behind schedule, and at the current pace, it is clear that not all mission-critical systems will be fixed in time. The nation's vital economic sectors are also at risk, including state and local governments; telecommunications; banking and finance; health, safety, and emergency services; transportation; utilities; and manufacturing and small business. Although actions by government and private industry are underway, the recent creation of the President's Council on Year 2000 Conversion represents a much needed approach to orchestrate the leadership and public/private partnerships essential to confronting the Year 2000 crisis. This testimony outlines Year 2000 risks and describes actions that should be taken by the council.

GAO noted that: (1) the federal government is extremely vulnerable to the year 2000 issue due to its widespread dependence on computer systems to process financial transactions, deliver vital public services, and carry out its operations; (2) unless this issue is successfully addressed, serious consequences could ensue, for example: (a) unless the Federal Aviation Administration takes much more decisive action, there could be grounded or delayed flights, degraded safety, customer inconvenience, and increased airline costs; (b) payments to veterans with service-connected disabilities could be severely delayed if the system that issues them either halts or produces checks so erroneous that it must be shut down and checks processed manually; (c) the military services could find it extremely difficult to efficiently and effectively equip and sustain its forces around the world; (d) federal systems used to track student loans could produce erroneous information on loan status, such as indicating that a paid loan was in default; (e) Internal Revenue Service tax systems could be unable to process returns, thereby jeopardizing revenue collection and delaying refunds; and (f) the Social Security Administration process to provide benefits to disabled persons could be disrupted if interfaces with state systems fail; (3) the year 2000 could also cause problems for the many facilities used by the federal government that were built or renovated within the last 20 years that contain embedded computer systems to control, monitor, or assist in operations; (4) GAO's reviews of federal agency year 2000 programs found uneven progress; (5) one of the largest, and largely unknown, risks relates to the global nature of the problem; (6) agencies have taken longer to complete the awareness and assessment phases of their year 2000 programs than is recommended; (7) this leaves less time for critical renovation, validation, and implementation phases; (8) the Chief Information Officers Council's Subcommittee on the year 2000 has been useful in addressing governmentwide issues; (9) given the sweeping ramifications of the year 2000 issue, other countries have set up mechanisms to solve the year 2000 problem on a nationwide basis; and (10) there is no comprehensive picture of the nation's readiness and, as one of its first tasks, the President's Council on Year 2000 Conversion could formulate such a comprehensive picture in partnership with the private sector and state and local governments.



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