Space Projects

Astrophysics Facility Program Contains Cost and Technical Risks Gao ID: NSIAD-94-80 January 28, 1994

The Advanced X-ray Astrophysics Facility (AXAF) is to be the third in the National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) series of four "great observatories," which are expected to provide new data and insights into the age, evolution, and composition of the universe. By redesigning and dividing the AXAF into two satellites, NASA has been able to make the program more affordable. The restructuring cut program costs by 54 percent without compromising the AXAF's scientific mission. Affordability for the AXAF-I--the satellite devoted to high-resolution x-ray imaging--may still be a concern, however, because funding reserves for it may fall short. Also, NASA may not have fully accounted for the increased technical risks inherent in the new design. As now designed, AXAF-I cannot be repaired in orbit, which means that hardware failures could scuttle a mission. Further minimizing the risk of hardware failures demands the highest quality parts and rigorous testing, which would boost costs significantly. NASA expects the restructure program to achieve most of the original science objectives set for AXAF. The objectives should be achieved because, owing to a higher orbit for AXAF-1 and greater individual use of instruments, the satellites would operate more efficiently than the originally planned single satellite.

GAO found that: (1) NASA has made the AXAF program more affordable by redesigning and dividing AXAF into two satellites; (2) the redesigned program has reduced estimated program development and operating costs by 54 percent; (3) revising the AXAF program will further reduce costs by an undetermined amount; (4) funding reserves may be inadequate for the AXAF-I portion of the program; (5) NASA did not account for the increased technical risks inherent in the new design; (6) the inability to repair AXAF-I in orbit could result in the need for higher quality original components and more stringent qualification testing; (7) the redesigned AXAF program should achieve most of the original program's scientific objectives because the satellites operate more efficiently than the single-satellite design due to higher orbits and greater individual use of instruments; and (8) the mission to launch AXAF-S could affect the satellite's scientific capabilities.

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