United States Postal Service
Strategy Needed to Address Aging Delivery Fleet
Gao ID: GAO-11-671T May 17, 2011
The United States Postal Service (USPS) is in financial crisis. It also has the world's largest civilian fleet, with many of its delivery vehicles reaching the end of their expected 24- year operational lives. USPS is subject to certain legislative requirements governing the federal fleet, including a requirement that 75 percent of USPS's vehicle acquisitions be capable of operating on an alternative fuel other than gasoline. This testimony addresses (1) USPS's financial condition; (2) USPS's delivery fleet profile, including how USPS has responded to alternative fuel vehicle requirements and its experiences with these vehicles; (3) trade-offs of USPS's approach for addressing its delivery fleet needs; and (4) options to fund a major acquisition of delivery vehicles. This testimony is primarily based on GAO-11-386, which is being released today. For that report, GAO analyzed USPS data, visited USPS facilities, and interviewed USPS and other officials. GAO recommended in that report that USPS should develop a strategy for addressing its delivery fleet needs that considers the effects of likely operational changes, legislative fleet requirements, and other factors. USPS agreed with the recommendation. For this testimony, GAO also drew upon past and ongoing work on USPS's financial condition and updated USPS financial information.
USPS's financial condition continues to deteriorate. For the first 6 months of fiscal year 2011, USPS reported a net loss of $2.6 billion--worse than it expected--and that, absent legislative change, it will have to default on payments to the government, including a $5.5 billion payment for its retiree health benefits. GAO has reported that Congress and USPS need to reach agreement on a package of actions to move USPS toward financial viability. USPS's delivery fleet is largely composed of custom-built, right-hand-drive vehicles designed to last for 24 years, including about 141,000 gasolinepowered vehicles (16 to 23 years old) and 21,000 flex-fuel vehicles capable of running on gasoline or 85-percent ethanol (E85) (about 10 years old). Its flexfuel vehicles and many of its 22,000 left-hand-drive minivans, which are also capable of running on E85, were purchased to comply with the 75 percent acquisition requirement for alternative fuel vehicles. Delivery vehicles travel about 17 miles and use the equivalent of about 2 gallons of gasoline on average per day. USPS has a variety of limited experiences with other alternative fuel vehicles, such as compressed natural gas and plug-in electric vehicles, most of which have higher life-cycle costs than gasoline vehicles. USPS's approach for addressing its delivery fleet needs is to maintain its current fleet until it determines how to address its longer term needs. USPS has incurred small increases in direct maintenance costs over the last 4 years, which were about $2,600 per vehicle in fiscal year 2010. However, it is increasingly incurring costs for unscheduled maintenance because of breakdowns, which can disrupt operations and increase costs. In fiscal year 2010, at least 31 percent of USPS's vehicle maintenance costs were for unscheduled maintenance, 11 percentage points over USPS's 20 percent goal. USPS's financial challenges limit options to fund a major delivery vehicle replacement or refurbishment, estimated to cost $5.8 billion and (in 2005) $3.5 billion, respectively. USPS and other federal and nonfederal officials see little potential to finance a fleet replacement through grants or partnerships. If Congress and USPS reach agreement on a package of actions to move USPS toward financial viability, such an agreement could potentially enhance USPS's ability to invest in new delivery vehicles.
GAO-11-671T, United States Postal Service: Strategy Needed to Address Aging Delivery Fleet
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United States Government Accountability Office:
GAO:
Testimony:
Before the Subcommittee on Federal Financial Management, Government
Information, Federal Services, and International Security, Committee
on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, U.S. Senate.
May 17, 2011:
United States Postal Service:
Strategy Needed to Address Aging Delivery Fleet:
Statement of Phillip Herr, Director:
Physical Infrastructure Issues:
GAO-11-671T:
GAO Highlights:
Highlights of GAO-11-671T, a testimony before the Subcommittee on
Federal Financial Management, Government Information, Federal
Services, and International Security, Committee on Homeland Security
and Governmental Affairs, U.S. Senate.
Why GAO Did This Study:
The United States Postal Service (USPS) is in financial crisis. It
also has the world‘s largest civilian fleet, with many of its delivery
vehicles reaching the end of their expected 24-year operational lives.
USPS is subject to certain legislative requirements governing the
federal fleet, including a requirement that 75 percent of USPS‘s
vehicle acquisitions be capable of operating on an alternative fuel
other than gasoline. This testimony addresses (1) USPS‘s financial
condition; (2) USPS‘s delivery fleet profile, including how USPS has
responded to alternative fuel vehicle requirements and its experiences
with these vehicles; (3) trade-offs of USPS‘s approach for addressing
its delivery fleet needs; and (4) options to fund a major acquisition
of delivery vehicles.
This testimony is primarily based on GAO-11-386, which is being
released today. For that report, GAO analyzed USPS data, visited USPS
facilities, and interviewed USPS and other officials. GAO recommended
in that report that USPS should develop a strategy for addressing its
delivery fleet needs that considers the effects of likely operational
changes, legislative fleet requirements, and other factors. USPS
agreed with the recommendation. For this testimony, GAO also drew upon
past and ongoing work on USPS‘s financial condition and updated USPS
financial information.
What GAO Found:
USPS‘s financial condition continues to deteriorate. For the first 6
months of fiscal year 2011, USPS reported a net loss of $2.6 billion”-
worse than it expected”-and that, absent legislative change, it will
have to default on payments to the government, including a $5.5
billion payment for its retiree health benefits. GAO has reported that
Congress and USPS need to reach agreement on a package of actions to
move USPS toward financial viability.
USPS‘s delivery fleet is largely composed of custom-built, right-hand-
drive vehicles designed to last for 24 years, including about 141,000
gasoline-powered vehicles (16 to 23 years old) and 21,000 flex-fuel
vehicles capable of running on gasoline or 85-percent ethanol (E85)
(about 10 years old). Its flex-fuel vehicles and many of its 22,000
left-hand-drive minivans, which are also capable of running on E85,
were purchased to comply with the 75 percent acquisition requirement
for alternative fuel vehicles. Delivery vehicles travel about 17 miles
and use the equivalent of about 2 gallons of gasoline on average per
day. USPS has a variety of limited experiences with other alternative
fuel vehicles, such as compressed natural gas and plug-in electric
vehicles, most of which have higher life-cycle costs than gasoline
vehicles.
Figure: Delivery Vehicles at a USPS Maintenance Facility (left) and
Post Office (right):
[Refer to PDF: 2 photographs]
Source: GAO.
[End of figure]
USPS‘s approach for addressing its delivery fleet needs is to maintain
its current fleet until it determines how to address its longer term
needs. USPS has incurred small increases in direct maintenance costs
over the last 4 years, which were about $2,600 per vehicle in fiscal
year 2010. However, it is increasingly incurring costs for unscheduled
maintenance because of breakdowns, which can disrupt operations and
increase costs. In fiscal year 2010, at least 31 percent of USPS‘s
vehicle maintenance costs were for unscheduled maintenance, 11
percentage points over USPS‘s 20 percent goal.
USPS‘s financial challenges limit options to fund a major delivery
vehicle replacement or refurbishment, estimated to cost $5.8 billion
and (in 2005) $3.5 billion, respectively. USPS and other federal and
nonfederal officials see little potential to finance a fleet
replacement through grants or partnerships. If Congress and USPS reach
agreement on a package of actions to move USPS toward financial
viability, such an agreement could potentially enhance USPS‘s ability
to invest in new delivery vehicles.
View [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-11-671T] or key
components. For more information, contact Phillip Herr at (202) 512-
2834 or herrp@gao.gov.
[End of section]
Chairman Carper, Ranking Member Brown, and Members of the Subcommittee:
I am pleased to be here today to participate in this hearing to
address the U.S. Postal Service's (USPS) financial crisis and the
challenges it faces in modernizing its delivery vehicle fleet. USPS
operates the world's largest civilian vehicle fleet--comprising more
than 215,000 vehicles--of which about 192,000 are light-duty delivery
vehicles[Footnote 1] used to deliver mail to about 131 million
residential and business addresses, in most cases, 6 days a week.
[Footnote 2] My statement addresses (1) USPS's financial condition;
(2) the profile of its delivery fleet, including how USPS has
responded to alternative fuel vehicle requirements and its experiences
with alternative fuel vehicles; (3) trade-offs of USPS's approach for
addressing its delivery fleet needs; and (4) options to fund a major
acquisition of delivery vehicles.
This statement is primarily based on our report, being released today,
on USPS's delivery fleet.[Footnote 3] For that report, we visited USPS
facilities, held interviews with USPS and other officials, and
analyzed data from USPS's Vehicle Management Accounting System. We
determined that these data were sufficiently reliable for the purposes
of our review. This statement is also based, in part, on our prior and
ongoing work on USPS's financial condition[Footnote 4] and documents
and a May 2011 interview with USPS officials regarding the agency's
financial performance for the first 6 months of fiscal year 2011. Our
work for this statement was conducted in accordance with generally
accepted government auditing standards. Those standards require that
we plan and perform the audit to obtain sufficient, appropriate
evidence to provide a reasonable basis for our findings and
conclusions based on our objectives. We believe that the evidence
obtained provides a reasonable basis for our findings and conclusions
based on our objectives. Additional information on our scope and
methodology is available in our issued products.
USPS's Financial Condition Continues to Deteriorate, and USPS
Anticipates a Substantial Cash Shortfall This Fiscal Year:
USPS's financial condition has deteriorated significantly since fiscal
year 2006, and its financial outlook is grim in both the short and
long term. In July 2009, we added USPS's financial condition and
outlook to our high-risk list because USPS was incurring billion-
dollar deficits and the amount of debt it incurred was increasing as
revenues declined and costs rose. USPS's financial condition has been
negatively affected by decreasing mail volumes as customers have
increasingly shifted to electronic communications and payment
alternatives, a trend that is expected to continue. USPS reported that
total mail volume decreased 3 percent in the second quarter of fiscal
year 2011, while First-Class Mail declined by 7.6 percent compared
with the same period last year, negatively affecting revenue as First-
Class Mail is USPS's most profitable mail. Half way through fiscal
year 2011, USPS reported a net loss of $2.6 billion.
USPS has reported achieving some cost savings in the last 5 years--for
example, it eliminated about 137,000 full-and part-time positions.
However, USPS has had difficulty reducing its compensation and
benefits costs and has struggled to optimize its workforce and its
retail, mail processing, and delivery networks to reflect declining
mail volume. USPS has relied increasingly on debt to fund its
operations and has increased its net borrowing by nearly $12 billion
over the last 5 years. USPS recently reported that its financial
performance for the first 6 months of fiscal year 2011 was worse than
expected, and that, not only will it reach its $15 billion statutory
debt limit by the end of the fiscal year, it now projects a
substantial cash shortfall and that it will be unable to pay all of
its financial obligations. Specifically, USPS said that absent
legislative change it will be forced to default on payments to the
federal government, including a $5.5 billion pre-funding payment for
retiree health benefits due on September 30, 2011.
While USPS's financial condition continues to deteriorate, we and USPS
have presented options to improve the agency's financial condition.
Specifically, we have reported that Congress and USPS need to reach
agreement on a package of actions to restore USPS's financial
viability, which will enable USPS to align its costs with revenues,
manage its growing debt, and generate sufficient funding for capital
investment.[Footnote 5] Proposed legislation, including S.
353[Footnote 6] and draft legislation expected to be introduced by
Senator Carper, provide a starting point for considering key issues
where congressional decisions are needed to help USPS undertake needed
reforms. As we have previously reported,[Footnote 7] to address USPS's
viability in the short-term, Congress should consider modifying the
funding requirements for USPS's retiree health benefits in a fiscally
responsible manner. For long-term stability, Congress should address
constraints and legal restrictions, such as those related to closing
facilities, so that USPS can take more aggressive action to reduce
costs. Action is urgently needed as mail delivery is a vital part of
this nation's economy.
The USPS Postmaster General has also presented strategies for
improving USPS's financial viability, recently stating that the
agency's focus should be on its core function of delivery, growing the
package business, and aggressively controlling costs and consolidating
postal networks to increase efficiency. Clearly, USPS's delivery fleet
is a vital component of a strategy focused on delivery.
Delivery Fleet Primarily Consists of Aging Long-Life Vehicles and
Alternative Fuel Vehicles Acquired to Meet Requirements, Which Have
Presented Cost and Infrastructure Challenges:
As shown in figure 1, there are three principal components of USPS's
delivery fleet:
* about 141,000 "long-life vehicles" (LLV)--custom-built, right-hand-
drive, light duty trucks with an aluminum body 16 to 23 years old,
that are approaching the end of their expected 24-year operational
lives;
* about 21,000 flex-fuel vehicles (FFV), also custom-built with right-
hand drive, 9 and 10 years old, that are approaching the mid-point of
their expected 24-year operational lives; and:
* about 22,000 commercially-available, left-hand drive minivans that
range in age from 2 to 13 years and have an expected operational life
of 10 years.
According to USPS officials, right-hand-drive vehicles are necessary
for curbline delivery.[Footnote 8] In addition, USPS officials told us
that the LLVs' and FFVs' standardized design minimizes training
requirements, increases operational flexibility, and facilitates
partnerships with parts suppliers. Moreover, LLVs and FFVs were made
to withstand harsh operating conditions, resulting from an average of
about 500 stops and starts per delivery route per day. As a result,
the LLVs and FFVs are expected to last more than twice as long as the
minivans, which were not built to withstand these operating conditions.
Figure 1: Examples of the LLVs, FFVs, and Minivans in USPS's Delivery
Fleet:
[Refer to PDF for image: 3 photographs]
1) LLV;
2) FFVs have an extra window behind the door for improved visibility;
3) Minivan.
Source: GAO.
[End of figure]
USPS is subject to certain legislative requirements governing the
federal fleet. For example, under the Energy Policy Act of 1992 (EPAct
1992), 75 percent of the light-duty vehicles that USPS acquires must
be capable of using an alternative fuel such as ethanol, natural gas,
propane, biodiesel, electricity, or hydrogen.[Footnote 9] Since 2000,
USPS has consistently purchased delivery vehicles that can operate on
gasoline or a mixture of gasoline and 85 percent ethanol (E85) to
satisfy this requirement. These vehicles are known as dual-fueled
vehicles. USPS officials stated that E85-capable vehicles were chosen
because they were the least costly option for meeting federal fleet
acquisition requirements. In addition, officials expected that E85
eventually would be widely available throughout the United States.
However, according to Department of Energy (DOE) data, as of December
2009,[Footnote 10] E85 was not available at 99 percent of U.S. fueling
stations.
Subsequent legislation required that alternative fuel be used in all
dual-fueled vehicles unless they have received a waiver from DOE.
[Footnote 11] Because of E85's limited availability, USPS has sought
and obtained annual waivers from DOE--for example, in fiscal year
2010, about 54 percent of its E85-capable vehicles received waivers
permitting them to be operated exclusively on gasoline. The remaining
46 percent of its E85-capable vehicles were expected to operate
exclusively on E85. However, USPS officials acknowledged that USPS
does not always fuel these vehicles with E85 because using E85
increases operational costs.[Footnote 12]
Apart from its experiences with E85-capable vehicles, USPS has a
variety of limited experiences with other types of alternative fuel
delivery vehicles. Collectively, these vehicles accounted for about 2
percent (3,490 vehicles) of its delivery fleet as of September 30,
2010, as shown in table 1.
Table 1: Number of USPS Delivery Vehicles, by Alternative Fuel
Capability, as of September 30, 2010:
Alternative fuel capability: E85;
Description of fuel type: E85 is a blend of 85% ethanol (primarily
derived from corn) and 15% gasoline;
Vehicle types: FFVs and minivans;
Number of vehicles: 39,149;
Percentage of delivery fleet: 20%.
Alternative fuel capability: Compressed natural gas;
Description of fuel type: Primarily consists of methane, around 90%,
with small amounts of ethane, propane, and other gases;
Vehicle types: LLVs and 2-ton trucks;
Number of vehicles: 3,401;
Percentage of delivery fleet: 2%.
Alternative fuel capability: Propane;
Description of fuel type: Both naturally occurring and derived by
separating petroleum from crude oil or natural gas;
Vehicle types: LLVs;
Number of vehicles: 34;
Percentage of delivery fleet: less than 1%.
Alternative fuel capability: Plug-in electric;
Description of fuel type: Electric vehicles store electricity in an
energy storage device, such as a battery. Energy is replenished by
plugging the vehicle into an electric source;
Vehicle types: 2 ton trucks and 3-wheeled vehicles;
Number of vehicles: 42;
Percentage of delivery fleet: less than 1%.
Alternative fuel capability: Conventional hybrid;
Description of fuel type: Uses both gasoline and energy stored in a
battery to power the vehicle;
Vehicle types: sport utility vehicles and a 2-ton truck;
Number of vehicles: 11;
Percentage of delivery fleet: less than 1%.
Alternative fuel capability: Hydrogen;
Description of fuel type: A fuel cell stack in the vehicle converts
hydrogen gas and oxygen into electricity, which drives an electric
motor;
Vehicle types: sport utility vehicles;
Number of vehicles: 2;
Percentage of delivery fleet: less than 1%.
Alternative fuel capability: Total;
Number of vehicles: 42,610;
Percentage of delivery fleet: 22%.
Source: GAO analysis of data provided by USPS from a Vehicle
Management and Accounting System report.
Note: Percentages do not total to 22 due to rounding.
[End of table]
According to USPS officials, to date, USPS has not invested more
heavily in alternative technologies in part because alternative fuel
vehicles likely would result in higher estimated lifecycle costs than
gasoline-fueled vehicles. This is largely because any potential fuel
savings from alternative fuel vehicles would be unlikely to offset
generally higher acquisition costs over the vehicles' operating lives,
given that USPS's delivery vehicles on average travel about 17 miles
and its LLVs use the equivalent of about 2 gallons of gasoline per
day. In addition, USPS officials told us that the limited availability
of alternative fuels and the high costs of installing fueling
infrastructure--such as on-site charging stations--have made it
difficult to elect to invest in or operate these vehicles. Finally,
they noted that USPS has experienced problems obtaining technological
support and parts for its alternative fuel vehicles.
USPS's Approach for Addressing Its Delivery Fleet Needs Has Financial
and Environmental Trade-offs:
USPS's current approach is to sustain operations of its delivery
fleet--through continued maintenance--for the next several years,
while planning how to address its longer term delivery fleet needs.
Under this approach, USPS anticipates purchasing limited numbers of
new, commercially available minivans. According to USPS officials,
this approach was adopted in December 2005 after senior management and
a Board of Governors subcommittee decided not to initiate a major
fleet replacement or refurbishment. At that time, USPS estimated that
it would cost $5 billion to replace about 175,000 vehicles. Planning
and executing a custom-built vehicle acquisition would take 5 to 6
years from initially identifying the vehicles' specifications and
negotiating with manufacturers through testing and deployment,
according to USPS officials. USPS also elected not to refurbish its
fleet, another option considered. According to a USPS contractor, in
2005, the agency could have delayed purchasing new vehicles for at
least 15 years if it had refurbished its LLVs and FFVs (i.e., replaced
nearly all parts subject to the effects of wear and aging) over a 10-
year period--at a cost in 2005 of about $20,000 per vehicle--or a
total of about $3.5 billion, assuming that 175,000 vehicles were
refurbished. USPS officials said the agency chose to maintain its
current delivery fleet rather than make a major capital investment
given pending operational and financial developments and uncertainty
about evolving vehicle technologies.
We found that USPS's maintenance program and well-established parts
supply network have enabled it to maintain its current delivery fleet
while avoiding the capital costs of a major vehicle replacement or
refurbishment. The USPS Office of Inspector General recently reported
that this approach is operationally viable and generally cost-
effective, given USPS's financial circumstances.[Footnote 13] Our
analysis of a custom query of USPS's vehicle database found that
delivery vehicles' direct maintenance costs averaged about $2,450 per
vehicle in fiscal year 2007 and just under $2,600 per vehicle in
fiscal year 2010 (in constant 2010 dollars). However, these direct
maintenance costs are understated, in part because, according to USPS
data, about 6 percent of total maintenance costs--all due to
maintenance performed by contractors--were not entered into its
database.
USPS's approach has trade-offs, including relatively high costs to
maintain some delivery vehicles. Our analysis showed that while about
77 percent of its delivery vehicles incurred less than $3,500 in
direct annual maintenance costs in fiscal year 2010,[Footnote 14]
about 3 percent (5,349) of these vehicles required more than $7,000--
and 662 vehicles required more than $10,500--in direct annual
maintenance costs,[Footnote 15] or over one-third the $31,000 per
vehicle replacement cost USPS currently estimates. USPS officials
stated that in most cases, they repair an LLV or FFV rather than
replace it with a minivan because of the continuing need for right-
hand-drive vehicles. One reason that some vehicles are incurring high
direct maintenance costs is that USPS has replaced--at a minimum--
about 4,500 LLV frames in fiscal years 2008 through 2010 because of
severe corrosion, at a cost of about $5,000 each. None of the fleet
managers for Fed-Ex Express, United Parcel Service, or other companies
we spoke with have replaced their vehicles' frames, and some suggested
that the need to do so is a key indication that it is time to replace--
not repair--a vehicle.
Another trade off of its current strategy is that USPS is increasingly
incurring costs for unscheduled maintenance because of breakdowns.
USPS's goal is to ensure that no more than 20 percent of its total
annual maintenance costs are for unscheduled maintenance. However, in
fiscal year 2010, at least 31 percent of its vehicle maintenance costs
were for unscheduled maintenance, 11 percentage points over its 20
percent goal. Unscheduled maintenance can result in delays in mail
delivery and operational costs, such as overtime expenses.
USPS employees at a majority of the eight vehicle maintenance
facilities and some post offices we visited told us that they believe
delivery vehicles can continue to deliver mail without major
operational interruptions for at least several more years. At the same
time, we identified some instances of maintenance problems during our
site visits (our report being released today contains photographs and
further discussion of these problems).[Footnote 16] For example,
officials at a Minnesota vehicle maintenance facility told us that
they are not following USPS's requirements for replacing frames whose
thickness in key spots indicates weakness because they do not have the
resources to do so. Instead, they said, facility personnel replace
frames only when the frames have one or more holes through the metal.
In addition, when we visited a vehicle maintenance facility in New
York state, technicians were replacing two severely corroded LLV
frames with similar holes. The manager of this facility informed us
that frames in this condition should have been replaced during a
previous preventive maintenance inspection.
As discussed, USPS's financial condition has declined substantially,
and although USPS issued a 10-year action plan in March 2010 for
improving its financial viability, the plan did not address its fleet
of delivery vehicles. USPS has not analyzed how operational changes
proposed in its 10-year plan, including a potential shift in delivery
from 6 to 5 days a week, would affect its delivery fleet needs, nor
has it examined the consequences of its decision to delay the fleet's
replacement or refurbishment. In addition, it has not developed a
fleet financing strategy.
During our review, USPS officials told us that the agency is in the
early stages of developing a proposal for addressing its delivery
fleet needs. These officials stated that the proposal will likely
explore alternatives, including maintaining the current fleet,
refurbishing the LLVs and FFVs, or, possibly, undertaking a major
acquisition of new vehicles. Furthermore, USPS officials stated that
the proposal will discuss strategies for incorporating additional
alternative fuel capabilities into its fleet. USPS expects to present
its proposal to its Capital Investment Committee later this fiscal
year.
USPS officials said that the agency intends to examine ways to comply
with EPAct 1992's acquisition requirements in its next large-scale
acquisition of delivery vehicles, but noted that life-cycle costs are
significantly higher for nearly all currently available alternative
fuel vehicles than for gasoline-powered vehicles.[Footnote 17]
Consequently, these officials told us a large-scale acquisition of
alternative fuel vehicles (other than E85-capable vehicles) is not
likely to be financially viable. USPS officials stated that, in their
view, the best way to meet national sustainability requirements for
reduced emissions without incurring significant costs may be to invest
in highly fuel-efficient gasoline-powered vehicles. Such an outcome
could be possible given increased legislative flexibility in the
definition of what constitutes an alternative fuel vehicle.
Specifically, as a result of the National Defense Authorization Act of
2008, any vehicle determined by the Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA) to be a low-greenhouse-gas-emitting vehicle in locations that
qualify for a DOE waiver would be considered an alternative fuel
vehicle.[Footnote 18] However, because EPA evaluates only commercially
available vehicles, at present, there are no low-greenhouse-gas-
emitting right-hand-drive vehicles available that have been determined
to meet EPAct 1992's fleet acquisition requirements for light-duty
vehicles. Consequently, if USPS decides to pursue such a vehicle in
its next acquisition of custom-built delivery vehicles, it would need
to work with vehicle manufacturers, EPA, and DOE.
Without Significant Improvement in USPS's Financial Condition, There
Are No Clear Options to Fund a Major Vehicle Replacement:
USPS's financial condition poses a significant barrier to its ability
to fund a major acquisition of its delivery fleet.[Footnote 19]
Recently, USPS estimated that it would cost about $5.8 billion to
replace about 185,000 delivery vehicles with new gasoline-powered
custom-built vehicles, at about $31,000 per vehicle (in 2011 dollars).
[Footnote 20] Further, officials from USPS, DOE, and an environmental
organization, and operators of private fleets see little potential to
finance a fleet replacement through grants or partnerships. A primary
barrier to a joint procurement is USPS's need for customized, right-
hand-drive delivery vehicles (its competitors typically use larger
vehicles that are not right-hand-drive). USPS and DOE officials also
saw little likelihood that USPS could help finance a major delivery
fleet acquisition through an energy savings performance contract, in
which a federal agency enters into a long-term contract with a private
energy company and shares energy-related cost savings. Given the low
annual mileage of USPS's delivery fleet, USPS and DOE officials stated
that it is unlikely that the fuel savings generated from a more
efficient fleet (whether consisting of gasoline-only vehicles or
alternative fuel vehicles) would be sufficient, compared with the
acquisition cost of the vehicles, to interest a private investor.
If Congress and USPS reach agreement on a package of actions to move
USPS toward financial viability, depending on the specific actions
adopted, USPS's follow-up, and the results, such an agreement could
enhance USPS's ability to invest in new delivery vehicles. While
USPS's efforts to maintain its current delivery fleet have worked thus
far, the time soon will come when the cost and operational
consequences of this approach will not allow further delays. When that
time comes, USPS will need to know how it can best comply with federal
requirements for acquiring alternative fuel vehicles while also
meeting its operational requirements. However, until USPS defines its
strategy for a major capital investment for its delivery vehicles,
neither USPS nor Congress has sufficient information to fully consider
its options. Consequently, USPS must develop a comprehensive strategy
for dealing with this inevitability.
In the report that this testimony is based on, we recommend that USPS
develop a strategy and timeline for addressing its delivery fleet
needs. Specifically, we recommend that this strategy address such
issues as the effects of USPS's proposed change from 6-to 5-day
delivery and consolidation of its facilities, as well as the effects
of continuing changes in its customers' use of the mail on future
delivery fleet requirements, along with an analysis of how it can best
meet federal fleet requirements, given its budget constraints. USPS
agreed with our findings and recommendation. USPS stated that it is
developing a strategy to address the immediate and long-term needs of
its delivery fleet, and that it plans to complete the strategy and
associated timeline by the end of December 2011.
Chairman Carper, Ranking Member Brown, and Members of the
Subcommittee, this concludes my prepared statement. I would be pleased
to answer any questions that you have.
Contacts and Staff Acknowledgments:
For further information about this statement, please contact Phillip
Herr at (202) 512-2834 or herrp@gao.gov. Individuals who made key
contributions to this statement include Kathleen Turner (Assistant
Director), Teresa Anderson, Joshua Bartzen, Bess Eisenstadt, Laura
Erion, Alexander Lawrence, Margaret McDavid, Joshua Ormond, Robert
Owens, Matthew Rosenberg, Kelly Rubin, Karla Springer, Crystal Wesco,
and Alwynne Wilbur.
[End of section]
Footnotes:
[1] In addition to delivery vehicles, USPS's fleet includes other
vehicles, such as administrative vehicles used for sales, accident
investigations, and other purposes, and larger trucks used for hauling
mail.
[2] USPS also delivers to another 20 million addresses as part of its
post office box service.
[3] See GAO, United States Postal Service: Strategy Needed to Address
Aging Delivery Fleet, [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-11-386] (Washington, D.C.: May 5,
2011).
[4] See GAO, U.S. Postal Service: Modernization and Restructuring
Needed to Address Financial Challenges, [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-11-428T] (Washington, D.C.: Mar. 2,
2011).
[5] GAO, U.S. Postal Service: Legislation Needed to Address Key
Challenges, [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-11-244T]
(Washington, D.C.: Dec. 2, 2010).
[6] S. 353, 112th Cong., (2011).
[7] GAO, U.S. Postal Service: Strategies and Options to Facilitate
Progress toward Financial Viability, [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-10-455] (Washington, D.C.: Apr. 12,
2010).
[8] About one-quarter of USPS's delivery vehicles are used on curbline
routes, in which the letter carrier delivers to mailboxes at the curb,
typically without leaving the vehicle.
[9] Pub. L. No. 102-486, § 303, 106 Stat. 2766 (Oct. 24, 1992).
Legislation subsequently expanded the definition of alternative fuel
vehicles to include hybrid vehicles.
[10] These data were the most recent available as of December 31, 2010.
[11] Pub. L. No. 109-58, § 701, 119 Stat. 594 (Aug. 8, 2005). DOE
grants waivers to agencies that operate vehicles in areas where
alternative fuel is (1) unavailable, (2) not available within 5 miles
or 15 minutes of travel, or (3) more expensive per gallon than
gasoline at the same fuel station. (Gasoline is distilled from
petroleum. We used the terms "gasoline" and "petroleum"
interchangeably throughout our testimony.)
[12] Because of E85's lower energy density, according to USPS
officials, its FFVs are about 27 to 30 percent less fuel efficient
when fueled with E85 than when fueled with gasoline, and therefore
cost more to fuel--and USPS also may incur additional labor costs if
letter carriers deviate from their routes to fuel with E85.
[13] See United States Postal Service, Office of the Inspector
General, Audit Report-Delivery Vehicle Replacement Strategy, DA-AR-10-
005 (Washington, D.C.: June 16, 2010).
[14] USPS established $3,500 as a one-time repair threshold for
approving expenditures for LLV maintenance. We used this threshold to
create maintenance ranges for the purposes of analyzing USPS's vehicle
database.
[15] We calculated average vehicle maintenance costs for fiscal years
2006 through 2009 and found a similar pattern.
[16] [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-11-386].
[17] For example, a 2011 Ford Escape hybrid costs about $9,000 more
than the nonhybrid version of the same vehicle. The manufacturer's
suggested retail price for a 2011 Ford Escape hybrid was $30,045
compared with $21,085 for the nonhybrid Ford Escape, as of February
15, 2011.
[18] Pub. L. 110-181, § 2862 (Jan. 28, 2008). This legislation permits
federal agencies to meet EPAct 1992's requirements for light-duty
alternative fuel vehicles by purchasing vehicles that EPA has
demonstrated to DOE would achieve a significant reduction in petroleum
consumption. Based on a demonstration EPA made to DOE, any low-
greenhouse-gas-emitting vehicle in locations that qualify for a DOE
waiver would be considered an alternative fuel vehicle.
[19] USPS's financial condition also poses a significant barrier to
funding a major refurbishment of the delivery fleet. As discussed
earlier, based on a USPS contractor's 2005 estimate of $20,000 per
vehicle, it would have cost about $3.5 billion at that time to
refurbish 175,000 delivery vehicles.
[20] According to a USPS official, this cost would cover the vehicle,
shipping, quality control oversight, technician training, and the
purchase of essential repair tools. The estimate did not include the
costs to dispose of existing vehicles, including environmental costs.
[End of section]
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