Flood Insurance
Public Policy Goals Provide a Framework for Reform
Gao ID: GAO-11-670T June 23, 2011
The National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) has been on GAO's high-risk list since 2006, when the program had to borrow from the U.S. Treasury to cover losses from the 2005 hurricanes. The outstanding debt is $17.8 billion as of June 2011. This sizeable debt, plus operational and management challenges that GAO has identified at the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), which administers NFIP, have combined to keep the program on the high-risk list. NFIP's need to borrow to cover claims in years of catastrophic flooding has raised concerns about the program's long-term financial solvency. This testimony (1) discusses ways to place NFIP on a sounder financial footing in light of public policy goals for federal involvement in natural catastrophe insurance and (2) highlights operational and management challenges at FEMA that affect the program. In preparing this statement, GAO relied on its past work on NFIP, including a June 2011 report on FEMA's management of NFIP, which focused on its planning, policies, processes, and systems. The management review included areas such as strategic and human capital planning, acquisition management, and intra-agency collaboration.
Congressional action is needed to increase the financial stability of NFIP and limit taxpayer exposure. GAO previously identified four public policy goals that can provide a framework for crafting or evaluating proposals to reform NFIP. These goals are: (1) charging premium rates that fully reflect risks, (2) limiting costs to taxpayers before and after a disaster, (3) encouraging broad participation in the program, and (4) encouraging private markets to provide flood insurance. Successfully reforming NFIP would require trade-offs among these often competing goals. For example, nearly one in four policyholders does not pay full-risk rates, and many pay a lower subsidized or "grandfathered" rate. Reducing or eliminating less than full-risk rates would decrease costs to taxpayers but substantially increase costs for many policyholders, some of whom might leave the program, potentially increasing postdisaster federal assistance. However, these trade-offs could be mitigated by providing assistance only to those who need it, limiting postdisaster assistance for flooding, and phasing in premium rates that fully reflect risks. Increasing mitigation efforts to reduce the probability and severity of flood damage would also reduce flood claims in the long term but would have significant up-front costs that might require federal assistance. One way to address this trade-off would be to better ensure that current mitigation programs are effective and efficient. Encouraging broad participation in the program could be achieved by expanding mandatory purchase requirements or increasing targeted outreach to help diversify the risk pool. Such efforts could help keep rates relatively low and reduce NFIP's exposure but would have to be effectively managed to help ensure that outreach efforts are broadly based. Encouraging private markets is the most difficult challenge because virtually no private market for flood insurance exists for most residential and commercial properties. FEMA's ongoing efforts to explore alternative structures may provide ideas that could be evaluated and considered. Several operational and management issues also limit FEMA's progress in addressing NFIP's challenges, and continued action by FEMA will be needed to help ensure the stability of the program. For example, in numerous past reports, GAO identified weaknesses in areas that include financial controls and oversight of private insurers and contractors, and made many recommendations to address them. While FEMA has made progress in addressing some areas, GAO's June 2011 report identified a number of management challenges facing the program, including strategic and human capital planning, records management, collaboration among offices, and financial and acquisition management. In this report, we also made a number of recommendations to address these challenges. FEMA agreed with the recommendations and discussed the steps being taken to address some of them. GAO has made numerous recommendations aimed at improving financial controls, oversight of private insurers and contractors, and FEMA's management of NFIP. DHS generally agreed with our recommendations.
GAO-11-670T, Flood Insurance: Public Policy Goals Provide a Framework for Reform
This is the accessible text file for GAO report number GAO-11-670T
entitled 'Flood Insurance: Public Policy Goals Provide a Framework for
Reform' which was released on June 23, 2011.
This text file was formatted by the U.S. Government Accountability
Office (GAO) to be accessible to users with visual impairments, as
part of a longer term project to improve GAO products' accessibility.
Every attempt has been made to maintain the structural and data
integrity of the original printed product. Accessibility features,
such as text descriptions of tables, consecutively numbered footnotes
placed at the end of the file, and the text of agency comment letters,
are provided but may not exactly duplicate the presentation or format
of the printed version. The portable document format (PDF) file is an
exact electronic replica of the printed version. We welcome your
feedback. Please E-mail your comments regarding the contents or
accessibility features of this document to Webmaster@gao.gov.
This is a work of the U.S. government and is not subject to copyright
protection in the United States. It may be reproduced and distributed
in its entirety without further permission from GAO. Because this work
may contain copyrighted images or other material, permission from the
copyright holder may be necessary if you wish to reproduce this
material separately.
United States Government Accountability Office:
GAO:
Testimony:
Before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S.
Senate:
For Release on Delivery:
Expected at 10:00 a.m. EDT:
June 23, 2011:
Flood Insurance:
Public Policy Goals Provide a Framework for Reform:
Statement of Orice Williams Brown, Managing Director:
Financial Markets and Community Investment:
GAO-11-670T:
GAO Highlights:
Highlights of GAO-11-670T, a testimony before the Committee on
Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate.
Why GAO Did This Study:
The National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) has been on GAO‘s high-
risk list since 2006, when the program had to borrow from the U.S.
Treasury to cover losses from the 2005 hurricanes. The outstanding
debt is $17.8 billion as of June 2011. This sizeable debt, plus
operational and management challenges that GAO has identified at the
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), which administers NFIP,
have combined to keep the program on the high-risk list. NFIP‘s need
to borrow to cover claims in years of catastrophic flooding has raised
concerns about the program‘s long-term financial solvency. This
testimony (1) discusses ways to place NFIP on a sounder financial
footing in light of public policy goals for federal involvement in
natural catastrophe insurance and (2) highlights operational and
management challenges at FEMA that affect the program.
In preparing this statement, GAO relied on its past work on NFIP,
including a June 2011 report on FEMA‘s management of NFIP, which
focused on its planning, policies, processes, and systems. The
management review included areas such as strategic and human capital
planning, acquisition management, and intra-agency collaboration.
GAO has made numerous recommendations aimed at improving financial
controls, oversight of private insurers and contractors, and FEMA‘s
management of NFIP. DHS generally agreed with our recommendations.
What GAO Found:
Congressional action is needed to increase the financial stability of
NFIP and limit taxpayer exposure. GAO previously identified four
public policy goals that can provide a framework for crafting or
evaluating proposals to reform NFIP. These goals are:
* charging premium rates that fully reflect risks,
* limiting costs to taxpayers before and after a disaster,
* encouraging broad participation in the program, and,
* encouraging private markets to provide flood insurance.
Successfully reforming NFIP would require trade-offs among these often
competing goals. For example, nearly one in four policyholders does
not pay full-risk rates, and many pay a lower subsidized or
’grandfathered“ rate. Reducing or eliminating less than full-risk
rates would decrease costs to taxpayers but substantially increase
costs for many policyholders, some of whom might leave the program,
potentially increasing post-disaster federal assistance. However,
these trade-offs could be mitigated by providing assistance only to
those who need it, limiting post-disaster assistance for flooding, and
phasing in premium rates that fully reflect risks. Increasing
mitigation efforts to reduce the probability and severity of flood
damage would also reduce flood claims in the long term but would have
significant up-front costs that might require federal assistance. One
way to address this trade-off would be to better ensure that current
mitigation programs are effective and efficient. Encouraging broad
participation in the program could be achieved by expanding mandatory
purchase requirements or increasing targeted outreach to help
diversify the risk pool. Such efforts could help keep rates relatively
low and reduce NFIP‘s exposure but would have to be effectively
managed to help ensure that outreach efforts are broadly based.
Encouraging private markets is the most difficult challenge because
virtually no private market for flood insurance exists for most
residential and commercial properties. FEMA‘s ongoing efforts to
explore alternative structures may provide ideas that could be
evaluated and considered.
Several operational and management issues also limit FEMA‘s progress
in addressing NFIP‘s challenges, and continued action by FEMA will be
needed to help ensure the stability of the program. For example, in
numerous past reports, GAO identified weaknesses in areas that include
financial controls and oversight of private insurers and contractors,
and made many recommendations to address them. While FEMA has made
progress in addressing some areas, GAO‘s June 2011 report identified a
number of management challenges facing the program, including
strategic and human capital planning, records management,
collaboration among offices, and financial and acquisition management.
In this report, we also made a number of recommendations to address
these challenges. FEMA agreed with the recommendations and discussed
the steps being taken to address some of them.
View [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-11-670T] or key
components. For more information, contact Orice Williams Brown at
(202) 512-9678 or williamso@gao.gov.
[End of section]
Chairman Johnson, Ranking Member Shelby, and Members of the Committee:
I appreciate the opportunity to participate in today's hearing on
National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) reform. As you know, NFIP is
the key component of the federal government's efforts to minimize the
damage from and financial impact of floods and is the only source of
insurance against flood damage for most residents in vulnerable areas.
NFIP has been on GAO's high-risk list since March 2006 after incurring
billions of dollars in catastrophic losses from the 2005 hurricanes.
Further contributing to NFIP's high-risk classification are
operational and management challenges that we have identified within
the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) that affect the
program. As of June 2011, NFIP still owed almost $17.8 billion to the
Department of the Treasury (Treasury) for loans used to cover losses
from the 2005 hurricanes. The magnitude of this debt highlights the
many financial challenges the program faces, including structural
weaknesses in the way it is funded, and the managerial challenges that
have affected FEMA's administration of NFIP. Any efforts to help
stabilize NFIP will require addressing both the program's financial
challenges and its operational and management issues.
My statement today discusses four public policy goals that GAO has
developed for evaluating federal involvement in the provision of
natural catastrophe insurance and identifies key program areas needing
reform, potential ways to better fulfill these goals, and the trade-
offs that would be required. This statement also sets out the
operational and managerial challenges facing NFIP that we have
identified in our past reports, including a report that was issued
earlier this month.[Footnote 1] The work that this report was based on
was performed from March 2006 through June 2011. We performed our work
in accordance with generally accepted government auditing standards.
Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain
sufficient, appropriate evidence to provide a reasonable basis for our
findings and conclusions based on our audit objectives. We believe
that the evidence we obtained provides a reasonable basis for our
findings and conclusions based on our audit objectives.
Background:
The National Flood Insurance Act of 1968 established NFIP as an
alternative to providing direct assistance after floods.[Footnote 2]
NFIP, which provides government-guaranteed flood insurance to
homeowners and businesses, was intended to reduce the federal
government's escalating costs for repairing flood damage after
disasters. FEMA, which is within the Department of Homeland Security
(DHS), is responsible for the oversight and management of NFIP. Since
NFIP's inception, Congress has enacted several pieces of legislation
to strengthen the program. The Flood Disaster Protection Act of 1973
made flood insurance mandatory for owners of properties in vulnerable
areas who had mortgages from federally regulated lenders and provided
additional incentives for communities to join the program.[Footnote 3]
The National Flood Insurance Reform Act of 1994 strengthened the
mandatory purchase requirements for owners of properties located in
special flood hazard areas (SFHA) with mortgages from federally
regulated lenders.[Footnote 4] Finally, the Bunning-Bereuter-
Blumenauer Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2004 authorized grant
programs to mitigate properties that experienced repetitive flooding
losses. Owners of these repetitive loss properties who do not mitigate
may face higher premiums.[Footnote 5]
To participate in NFIP, communities agree to enforce regulations for
land use and new construction in high-risk flood zones and to adopt
and enforce state and community floodplain management regulations to
reduce future flood damage. Currently, more than 20,000 communities
participate in NFIP. NFIP has mapped flood risks across the country,
assigning flood zone designations based on risk levels, and these
designations are a factor in determining premium rates. NFIP offers
two types of flood insurance premiums: subsidized and full risk. The
National Flood Insurance Act of 1968 authorizes NFIP to offer
subsidized premiums to owners of certain properties. These subsidized
premium rates, which represent about 40 percent to 45 percent of the
cost of covering the full risk of flood damage to the properties,
apply to about 22 percent of all NFIP policies. To help reduce or
eliminate the long-term risk of flood damage to buildings and other
structures insured by NFIP, FEMA has used a variety of mitigation
efforts, such as elevation, relocation, and demolition. Despite these
efforts, the inventories of repetitive loss properties--generally, as
defined by FEMA, those that have had two or more flood insurance
claims payments of $1,000 or more over 10 years--and policies with
subsidized premium rates have continued to grow.[Footnote 6] In
response to the magnitude and severity of the losses from the 2005
hurricanes, Congress increased NFIP's borrowing authority from
Treasury to about $20.8 billion.
Efforts to Reform NFIP's Financial Structure Will Require Balancing
Public Policy Goals:
We have previously identified four public policy goals for evaluating
the federal role in providing natural catastrophe insurance:
* charging premium rates that fully reflect actual risks,
* limiting costs to taxpayers before and after a disaster,
* encouraging broad participation in natural catastrophe insurance
programs, and:
* encouraging private markets to provide natural catastrophe
insurance.[Footnote 7]
Taking action to achieve these goals would benefit both NFIP and the
taxpayers who fund the program but would require trade-offs. I will
discuss the key areas that need to be addressed, actions that can be
taken to help achieve these goals, and the trade-offs that would be
required.
Charging Full-Risk Rates Would Improve NFIP's Financial Soundness but
Could Reduce Program Participation:
As I have noted, NFIP currently does not charge all program
participants rates that reflect the full risk of flooding to their
properties.[Footnote 8] First, the act requires FEMA to charge many
policyholders less than full-risk rates to encourage program
participation. While the percentage of subsidized properties was
expected to decline as new construction replaced subsidized
properties, today nearly one out of four NFIP policies is based on a
subsidized rate. Second, FEMA may "grandfather" properties that are
already in the program when new flood maps place them in higher-risk
zones, allowing some property owners to pay premium rates that apply
to the previous lower-risk zone. FEMA officials told us they made the
decision to allow grandfathering because of external pressure to
reduce the effects of rate increases, and considerations of equity,
ease of administration, and the goals of promoting floodplain
management. Similarly, FEMA recently introduced a new rating option
called the Preferred Risk Policy Eligibility Extension that in effect
equals a temporary grandfathering of premium rates.[Footnote 9] While
these policies typically would have to be converted to more expensive
policies when they were renewed after a new flood map came into
effect, FEMA has extended eligibility for these lower rates. Finally,
we have also raised questions about whether NFIP's full-risk rates
reflect actual flood risks. Because many premium rates charged by NFIP
do not reflect the full risk of loss, the program is less likely to be
able to pay claims in years with catastrophic losses, as occurred in
2005, and may need to borrow from Treasury to pay claims in those
years.[Footnote 10]
Increasing premium rates to fully reflect the risk of loss--including
the risk of catastrophic loss--would generally require reducing or
eliminating subsidized and grandfathered rates and offers several
advantages. Specifically, increasing rates could:
* result in premium rates that more fully reflected the actual risk of
loss;
* decrease costs for taxpayers by reducing costs associated with post-
disaster borrowing to pay claims; and:
* encourage private market participation, because the rates would more
closely approximate those that would be charged by private insurers.
However, eliminating subsidized and grandfathered rates and increasing
rates overall would increase costs to some homeowners, who might then
cancel their flood policies or elect not to buy them at all. According
to FEMA, subsidized premium rates are generally 40 percent to 45
percent of rates that would reflect the full risk of loss. For
example, the projected average annual subsidized premium was $1,121 as
of October 2010, discounted from the $2,500 to $2,800 that FEMA said
would be required to cover the full risk of loss.[Footnote 11] In a
2009 report, we also analyzed the possibility of creating a
catastrophic loss fund within NFIP (one way to help pay for
catastrophic losses).[Footnote 12] Our analysis found that in order to
create a fund equal to 1 percent of NFIP's total exposure by 2020, the
average subsidized premium--which typically is in one of the highest-
risk zones--would need to increase from $840 to around $2,696, while
the average full-risk premium would increase from around $358 to
$1,149. Such steep increases could reduce participation, either
because homeowners could no longer afford their policies or simply
deemed them too costly, and increase taxpayer costs for post-disaster
assistance to property owners who no longer had flood insurance.
However, a variety of actions could be taken to mitigate these
disadvantages. For example, subsidized rates could be phased out over
time or not transferred with the property when it is sold. Moreover,
as we noted in our past work, targeted assistance could be offered to
those most in need to help them pay increased NFIP premiums.[Footnote
13] This assistance could take several forms, including direct
assistance through NFIP, tax credits, or grants. In addition, to the
extent that those who might forgo coverage were actually required to
purchase it, additional actions could be taken to better ensure that
they purchased policies. According to the RAND Corporation, in SFHAs,
where property owners with loans from federally insured or regulated
lenders are required to purchase flood insurance, as few as 50 percent
of the properties had flood insurance in 2006.[Footnote 14]
Limiting Taxpayer Costs Could Be Achieved by Increasing Premium Rates,
but Further Mitigation Efforts Could Incur Up-Front Costs:
In order to reduce expenses to taxpayers that can result when NFIP
borrows from Treasury, NFIP needs to be able to generate enough in
premiums to pay its claims, even in years with catastrophic losses--a
goal that is closely tied to that of eliminating subsidies and other
reduced rates. Since the program's inception, NFIP premiums have come
close to covering claims in average loss years but not in years of
catastrophic flooding, particularly 2005. Unlike private insurance
companies, NFIP does not purchase reinsurance to cover catastrophic
losses.[Footnote 15] As a result, NFIP has funded such losses after
the fact by borrowing from Treasury. As we have seen, such borrowing
exposes taxpayers to the risk of loss. NFIP still owes approximately
$17.8 billion of the amount it borrowed from Treasury for losses
incurred during the 2005 hurricane season. The high cost of servicing
this debt means it may never be repaid, could in fact increase, and
will continue to affect the program's solvency and be a burden to
taxpayers.
Another way to limit costs to taxpayers is to decrease the risk of
losses by undertaking mitigation efforts that could reduce the extent
of damage from flooding. FEMA has taken steps to help homeowners and
communities mitigate properties by making improvements designed to
reduce flood damage--for example, elevation, relocation, and
demolition. As we have reported, from fiscal year 1997 through fiscal
year 2007, nearly 30,000 properties were mitigated using FEMA funds.
[Footnote 16] Increasing mitigation efforts could further reduce flood
damage to properties and communities, helping to put NFIP on a firmer
financial footing and reducing taxpayers' exposure.
FEMA has made particular efforts to address the issue of repetitive
loss properties through mitigation. These properties account for just
1 percent of NFIP's insured properties but are responsible for 25
percent to 30 percent of claims. Despite FEMA's efforts, the number of
repetitive loss properties increased from 76,202 in 1997 to 132,100 in
March 2011, or by about 73 percent. FEMA also has some authority to
raise premium rates for property owners who refuse mitigation offers
in connection with the Severe Repetitive Loss Pilot Grant Program.
[Footnote 17] In these situations, FEMA can initially increase
premiums to up to 150 percent of their current amount and may raise
them again (by up to the same amount) on properties that incur a claim
of more than $1,500. However, FEMA cannot increase premiums on
property owners who pay the full-risk rate but refuse a mitigation
offer, and in no case can rate increases exceed the full-risk rate for
the structure. In addition, FEMA is not allowed to discontinue
coverage for those who refuse mitigation offers. As a result, FEMA is
limited in its ability to compel owners of repetitive loss properties
to undertake flood mitigation efforts.
Mitigation offers significant advantages. As I have noted, mitigated
properties are less likely to be at a high risk for flood damage,
making it easier for NFIP to charge them full-risk rates that cover
actual losses. Allowing NFIP to deny coverage to owners of repetitive
loss properties who refused to undertake mitigation efforts could
further reduce costs to the program and ultimately to taxpayers.
One disadvantage of increased mitigation efforts is that they can
impose up-front costs on homeowners and communities required to
undertake them and could raise taxpayers' costs if the federal
government elected to provide additional mitigation assistance. Those
costs could increase still further if property owners who were dropped
from the program for refusing to mitigate later-received federal post-
disaster assistance. These trade-offs are not insignificant, although
certain actions could be taken to reduce them. For example, federal
assistance such as low-cost loans, grants, or tax credits could be
provided to help property owners pay for the up-front costs of
mitigation efforts. Any reform efforts could explore ways to improve
mitigation efforts to help ensure maximum effectiveness. For example,
FEMA has three separate flood mitigation programs.[Footnote 18] Having
multiple programs may not be the most cost-efficient and effective way
to promote mitigation and may unnecessarily complicate mitigation
efforts.
Depending on How They Were Implemented, Efforts to Encourage Broader
Participation Could Reduce Costs:
Increasing participation in NFIP, and thus the size of the risk pool,
would help ensure that losses from flood damage did not become the
responsibility of the taxpayer. Participation rates have been
estimated to be as low as 50 percent in SFHAs, where property owners
with loans from federally insured and regulated lenders are required
to purchase flood insurance, and participation in lower-risk areas is
significantly lower.[Footnote 19] For example, participation rates
outside of SFHAs have been found to be as low as 1 percent, leaving
significant room to increase participation.
Expanding participation in NFIP would have a number of advantages. As
a growing number of participants shared the risks of flooding, premium
rates could be lower than they would be with fewer participants.
Currently, NFIP must take all applicants for flood insurance, unlike
private insurers, and thus is limited in its ability to manage its
risk exposure. To the extent that properties added to the program were
in geographic areas where participation had historically been low and
in low-and medium-risk areas, the increased diversity could lower
rates as the overall risk to the program decreased. Further, increased
program participation could reduce taxpayer costs by reducing the
number of property owners who might draw on federally funded post-
disaster assistance.
However, efforts to expand participation in NFIP would have to be
carefully implemented, for several reasons. First, as we have noted,
NFIP cannot reject applicants on the basis of risk. As a result, if
participation increased only in SFHAs, the program could see its
concentration of high-risk properties grow significantly and face the
prospect of more severe losses. Second, a similar scenario could
emerge if mandatory purchase requirements were expanded and newly
covered properties were in communities that did not participate in
NFIP and thus did not meet standards--such as building codes--that
could reduce flood losses. As a result, some of the newly enrolled
properties might be eligible for subsidized premium rates or, because
of restrictions on how much FEMA can charge in premiums, might not pay
rates that covered the actual risk of flooding. Finally, historically
FEMA has attempted to encourage participation by charging lower rates;
however, doing so results in rates that do not fully reflect the risks
of flooding and exposes taxpayers to increased risk.
Moderating the challenges associated with expanding participation
could take a variety of forms. Newly added properties could be
required to pay full-risk rates, and low-income property owners could
be offered some type of assistance to help them pay their premiums.
Outreach efforts would need to include areas with low and moderate
flood risks to help ensure that the risk pool remained diversified.
For example, FEMA's goals for NFIP include increasing penetration in
low-risk flood zones, among homeowners without federally related
mortgages in all zones, and in geographic areas with repetitive losses
and low penetration rates.
Encouraging Private Market Participation Could Reduce the Federal
Government's Exposure but Could Also Decrease NFIP's Stability if Only
High-Risk Properties Remained:
Currently, the private market provides only a limited amount of flood
insurance coverage. In 2009, we reported that while aggregate
information was not available on the precise size of the private flood
insurance market, it was considered relatively small.[Footnote 20] The
2006 RAND study estimated that 180,000 to 260,000 insurance policies
for both primary and gap coverage were in effect.[Footnote 21] We also
reported that private flood insurance policies are generally purchased
in conjunction with NFIP policies, with the NFIP policy covering the
deductible on the private policy. Finally, we reported that NFIP
premiums were generally less expensive than premiums for private flood
insurance for similar coverage.[Footnote 22] For example, one insurer
told us that for a specified amount of coverage for flood damage to a
structure, an NFIP policy might be as low as $500, while a private
policy might be as high as $900. Similar coverage for flood damage to
contents might be $350 for an NFIP policy but around $600 for a
private policy.
Given the limited nature of private sector participation, encouraging
private market participation could transfer some of the federal
government's risk exposure to the private markets and away from
taxpayers. However, identifying ways to achieve that end has generally
been elusive. In 2007, we evaluated the trade-offs of having a
mandatory all-perils policies that would include flood risks.[Footnote
23] For example, it would alleviate uncertainty about the types of
natural events homeowners insurance covered, such as those that
emerged following Hurricane Katrina. However, at the time the industry
was generally opposed to an all-perils policy because of the large
potential losses a mandatory policy would entail.
Increased private market participation is also not without potential
disadvantages. First, if the private markets provide coverage for only
the lowest-risk properties currently in NFIP, the percentage of high-
risk properties in the program would increase. This scenario could
result in higher rates as the amount needed to cover the full risk of
flooding increased. Without higher rates, however, the federal
government would face further exposure to loss. Second, private
insurers, who are able to charge according to risk, would likely
charge higher rates than NFIP has been charging unless they received
support from the federal government. As we have seen, such increases
could create affordability concerns for low-income policyholders.
Strategies to help mitigate these disadvantages could include
requiring private market coverage for all property owners--not just
those in high-risk areas--and, as described earlier, providing
targeted assistance to help low-income property owners pay for their
flood coverage. In addition, Congress could provide options to private
insurers to help lower the cost of such coverage, including tax
incentives or federal reinsurance.
FEMA's Operational and Management Issues May Limit Progress in
Achieving NFIP Goals:
As Congress weighs NFIP's various financial challenges in its efforts
to reform the program, it must also consider a number of operational
and management issues that may limit efforts to meet program goals and
impair NFIP's stability. For the past 35 years, we have highlighted
challenges with NFIP and its administration and operations. For
example, most recently we have identified a number of issues impairing
the program's effectiveness in areas that include the reasonableness
of payments to Write-Your-Own (WYO) insurers, the adequacy of
financial controls over the WYO program, and the adequacy of oversight
of non-WYO contractors. In our report, which reviews FEMA's management
of NFIP, we addressed, among other things, (1) the extent to which
FEMA's management practices affect the agency's ability to meet NFIP's
mission and (2) lessons to be learned from the cancellation of FEMA's
most recent attempt to modernize NFIP's flood insurance policy and
claims processing system.[Footnote 24]
We found that FEMA faces significant management challenges in areas
that affect its administration of NFIP. First, FEMA has not finalized
strategic guidance and direction for NFIP and therefore lacks goals
and objectives for the program and the necessary starting point for
developing performance measures that would assess the program's
effectiveness. Second, FEMA faces a number of human capital challenges
related to turnover, hiring, and tracking the many contractors that
play a key role in NFIP. Further, FEMA lacks a plan that would help
ensure consistent day-to-day operations when it deploys staff to
respond to federal disasters. Third, collaboration between program and
support offices that contribute to administering NFIP has at times
been ineffective, leading to challenges in effectively carrying out
some key functions, including information technology, acquisition, and
financial management. Finally, FEMA does not have a comprehensive set
of processes and systems to guide its operations. Specifically, it
lacks an updated records management policy, an electronic document
management system, procedures to effectively manage unliquidated
obligations, and a fully developed and implemented documentation of
its business processes. FEMA has begun taking steps to improve its
acquisition management and document some of its business processes,
but the results of its efforts remain to be seen. Unless it takes
further steps to address these management challenges, FEMA will be
limited in its ability to manage NFIP's operations or better ensure
program effectiveness. In our report we made eight recommendations
addressing these issues. DHS agreed with these recommendations and
FEMA has begun to take steps to begin addressing some of them. For
example, FEMA has begun developing a strategy for the administration
of its mitigation and insurance programs, conducting a workforce
assessment, holding outreach sessions between program and support
offices to improve collaboration, and developing training and
certification programs for acquisition management.
We also found that the canceled development of the Next Generation
Flood Insurance Management System (NextGen), FEMA's latest attempt to
modernize NFIP's insurance policy and claims management system,
illustrated weaknesses in NFIP's acquisition management activities.
Despite investing roughly 7 years and $40 million, FEMA ultimately
canceled the effort in November 2009 because it failed to meet user
expectations, forcing the agency to continue relying on a 30-year-old
system that does not fully support NFIP's mission needs and is costly
to maintain and operate. A number of acquisition management weaknesses
led to NextGen's failure and cancellation. Specifically, business and
functional requirements were not sufficiently defined; system users
did not actively participate in determining the requirements for the
development of system prototypes or in pilot testing activities; test
planning and project risks were not adequately managed; and project
management office staffing was limited. As FEMA begins a new effort to
modernize the existing legacy system, it plans to apply lessons
learned from its NextGen experience. While FEMA has begun implementing
some changes to its acquisition management practices, it remains to be
seen if they will help FEMA avoid some of the problems that led to
NextGen's failure. Unless it develops appropriate acquisitions
processes and applies lessons learned from the NextGen failure, FEMA
will be unable to develop an effective policies and claims processing
system for NFIP. DHS agreed with our recommendations that DHS provide
regular oversight of FEMA's next attempt to modernize the system and
help ensure FEMA applies lessons learned.
Closing Comments:
Congressional action is needed to increase the financial stability of
NFIP and limit taxpayer exposure. GAO previously identified four
public policy goals that can provide a framework for crafting or
evaluating proposals to reform NFIP. First, any congressional reform
effort should include measures for charging premium rates that
accurately reflect the risk of loss, including catastrophic losses.
Meeting this goal would require changing the law governing NFIP to
reduce or eliminate subsidized rates, limits on annual rate increases,
and grandfathered or other rates that do not fully reflect the risk of
loss. In taking such a step, Congress may choose to provide assistance
to certain property owners, and should consider providing appropriate
authorization and funding of such incentives to ensure transparency.
Second, because of the potentially high costs of individual and
community mitigation efforts, which can reduce the frequency and
extent of flood damage, Congress may need to provide funding or access
to funds for such efforts and consider ways to improve the efficiency
of existing mitigation programs. Moreover, if Congress wished to allow
NFIP to deny coverage to owners of properties with repetitive losses
who refuse mitigation efforts, it would need to give FEMA appropriate
authority. Third, Congress could encourage FEMA to continue to
increase participation in the program by expanding targeted outreach
efforts and limiting post-disaster assistance to those individuals who
choose not to mitigate in moderate-and high-risk areas. And finally,
to address the goal of encouraging private sector participation,
Congress could encourage FEMA to explore private sector alternatives
to providing flood insurance or for sharing insurance risks, provided
such efforts do not increase taxpayers' exposure.
For its part, FEMA needs to take action to address a number of
fundamental operational and managerial issues that also threaten the
stability of NFIP and have contributed to its remaining on GAO's high-
risk list. These include improving its strategic planning, human
capital planning, intra-agency collaboration, records management,
acquisition management, and information technology. While FEMA
continues to make some progress in some areas, fully addressing these
issues is vital to its long-term operational efficiency and financial
stability.
Chairman Johnson and Ranking Member Shelby, this concludes my prepared
statement. I would be pleased to respond to any of the questions you
or other members of the Committee may have at this time.
GAO Contact and Staff Acknowledgments:
Contact points for our Offices of Congressional Relations and Public
Affairs may be found on the last page of this statement. For further
information about this testimony, please contact Orice Williams Brown
at (202) 512-8678 or williamso@gao.gov. This statement was prepared
under the direction of Patrick Ward. Key contributors were Christopher
Forys, Nima Patel Edwards, Emily Chalmers, and Tania Calhoun.
[End of section]
Related GAO Products:
FEMA: Action Needed to Improve Administration of the National Flood
Insurance Program. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-11-297]. Washington, D.C.: June 9,
2011.
Flood Insurance: Public Policy Goals Provide A Framework for Reform.
[hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-11-429T]. Washington,
D.C.: March 11, 2011.
FEMA Flood Maps: Some Standards and Processes in Place to Promote Map
Accuracy and Outreach, but Opportunities Exist to Address
Implementation Challenges. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-11-17]. Washington, D.C.: December 2,
2010.
National Flood Insurance Program: Continued Actions Needed to Address
Financial and Operational Issues. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-10-1063T]. Washington, D.C.: September
22, 2010.
National Flood Insurance Program: Continued Actions Needed to Address
Financial and Operational Issues. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-10-631T]. Washington, D.C.: April 21,
2010.
Financial Management: Improvements Needed in National Flood Insurance
Program's Financial Controls and Oversight. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-10-66]. Washington, D.C.: December 22,
2009.
Flood Insurance: Opportunities Exist to Improve Oversight of the WYO
Program. [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-455].
Washington, D.C.: August 21, 2009.
Information on Proposed Changes to the National Flood Insurance
Program. [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-420R].
Washington, D.C.: February 27, 2009.
High-Risk Series: An Update. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-271]. Washington, D.C.: January
2009.
Flood Insurance: Options for Addressing the Financial Impact of
Subsidized Premium Rates on the National Flood Insurance Program.
[hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-20]. Washington, D.C.:
November 14, 2008.
Flood Insurance: FEMA's Rate-Setting Process Warrants Attention.
[hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-12]. Washington, D.C.:
October 31, 2008.
National Flood Insurance Program: Financial Challenges Underscore Need
for Improved Oversight of Mitigation Programs and Key Contracts.
[hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-08-437]. Washington, D.C.:
June 16, 2008.
Natural Catastrophe Insurance: Analysis of a Proposed Combined Federal
Flood and Wind Insurance Program. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-08-504]. Washington, D.C.: April 25,
2008.
National Flood Insurance Program: Greater Transparency and Oversight
of Wind and Flood Damage Determinations Are Needed. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-08-28]. Washington, D.C.: December 28,
2007.
National Disasters: Public Policy Options for Changing the Federal
Role in Natural Catastrophe Insurance. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-08-7]. Washington, D.C.: November 26,
2007.
Federal Emergency Management Agency: Ongoing Challenges Facing the
National Flood Insurance Program. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-08-118T]. Washington, D.C.: October 2,
2007.
National Flood Insurance Program: FEMA's Management and Oversight of
Payments for Insurance Company Services Should Be Improved.
[hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-07-1078]. Washington,
D.C.: September 5, 2007.
National Flood Insurance Program: Preliminary Views on FEMA's Ability
to Ensure Accurate Payments on Hurricane-Damaged Properties.
[hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-07-991T]. Washington,
D.C.: June 12, 2007.
Coastal Barrier Resources System: Status of Development That Has
Occurred and Financial Assistance Provided by Federal Agencies.
[hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-07-356]. Washington, D.C.:
March 19, 2007.
Budget Issues: FEMA Needs Adequate Data, Plans, and Systems to
Effectively Manage Resources for Day-to-Day Operations. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-07-139]. Washington, D.C.: January 19,
2007.
National Flood Insurance Program: New Processes Aided Hurricane
Katrina Claims Handling, but FEMA's Oversight Should Be Improved.
[hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-07-169]. Washington, D.C.:
December 15, 2006.
GAO'S High-Risk Program. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-06-497T]. Washington, D.C.: March 15,
2006.
Federal Emergency Management Agency: Challenges for the National Flood
Insurance Program. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-06-335T]. Washington, D.C.: January
25, 2006.
Federal Emergency Management Agency: Improvements Needed to Enhance
Oversight and Management of the National Flood Insurance Program.
[hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-06-119]. Washington, D.C.:
October 18, 2005.
Determining Performance and Accountability Challenges and High Risks.
[hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-01-159SP]. Washington,
D.C.: November 2000.
Standards for Internal Control in the Federal Government. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO/AIMD-00-21.3.1]. Washington, D.C.:
November 1999.
Budget Issues: Budgeting for Federal Insurance Programs. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO/T-AIMD-98-147]. Washington, D.C.:
April 23, 1998.
Budget Issues: Budgeting for Federal Insurance Programs. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO/AIMD-97-16]. Washington, D.C.:
September 30, 1997.
National Flood Insurance Program: Major Changes Needed If It Is To
Operate Without A Federal Subsidy. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO/RCED-83-53]. Washington, D.C.: January
3, 1983.
Formidable Administrative Problems Challenge Achieving National Flood
Insurance Program Objectives. [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/RED-76-94]. Washington, D.C.: April 22,
1976.
[End of section]
Footnotes:
[1] See GAO, FEMA: Action Needed to Improve Administration of the
National Flood Insurance Program, [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-11-297] (Washington, D.C.: June 9,
2011).
[2] Pub. L. No. 90-448, Title XIII, 82 Stat. 476 (1968).
[3] Pub. L. No. 93-234, §102, 87 Stat. 975, 978 (1973).
[4] Pub. L. No. 103-325, 108 Stat. 2255 (1994).
[5] Pub. L. No. 108-264, §§ 102, 104, 118 Stat. 712, 714, 722 (2004).
[6] The Bunning-Bereuter-Blumenauer Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2004
amended the existing definition of the term "repetitive loss
structure" to the current one: a structure covered by a contract for
flood insurance that has incurred flood-related damage on two
occasions, in which the cost of repair, on the average, equaled or
exceeded 25 percent of the value of the structure at the time of each
such flood event; and at the time of the second incidence of flood-
related damage, the contract for flood insurance contains increased
cost of compliance coverage, which can help property owners pay for
the cost of mitigation measures for flood-damaged properties. 42
U.S.C. § 4121(a).
[7] See GAO, Natural Disasters: Public Policy Options for Changing the
Federal Role in Natural Catastrophe Insurance, [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-08-7] (Washington, D.C.: Nov. 26,
2007).
[8] Premium rates that reflect the "full risk" of flooding can mean
different things, and there is no standard definition for this term.
An actuarial approach to ratemaking would produce rates that cover a
best estimate of average expected losses, plus an additional margin
for risk. The question then becomes how big the risk margin should be,
a decision that will be influenced in turn by the characteristics of
the risk (including the magnitude of potential catastrophic losses),
the desired margin for safety and speed of building up a contingency
reserve, and the availability of other sources of capital to cover
excessive losses. The nature of flood risks is such that, because of
the potential at any time for catastrophic losses, charging premium
rates that reflect the full risk cannot ensure that the NFIP will not
have to borrow from Treasury again in the future. As a corollary, the
need in any particular year to borrow from Treasury does not, by
itself, necessarily indicate that the rates charged were inappropriate
or that the program was not being run properly.
[9] The Preferred Risk Policy offers low-cost flood insurance to
owners and tenants of residential and nonresidential buildings located
in moderate-to low-risk areas as long as the property has not, within
any 10-year period, incurred two or more flood insurance claim
payments or disaster relief payments (including loans and grants) of
more than $1,000 each.
[10] Implementing rates that reflect the full risk of loss, including
catastrophic losses, might not eliminate NFIP's need to borrow funds
for larger-than-expected losses that occurred before sufficient
reserves had been built.
[11] This premium that would be required to cover the full risk of
loss is based upon FEMA's calculation that subsidized premium rates
are generally 40 percent to 45 percent of those rates.
[12] See GAO, Information on Proposed Changes to the National Flood
Insurance Program, [hyperlink,
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-420R] (Washington, D.C.: Feb. 27,
2009). The creation of a catastrophic loss fund might not eliminate
NFIP's need to borrow funds for larger-than-expected losses that
occurred before the fund had been built. Further borrowing could
require either a longer period to rebuild the loss fund or debt
forgiveness from Congress.
[13] See GAO, Flood Insurance: Options for Addressing the Financial
Impact of Subsidized Premium Rates on the National Flood Insurance
Program, [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-20]
(Washington, D.C.: Nov. 14, 2008).
[14] RAND, The National Flood Insurance Program's Market Penetration
Rate: Estimates and Policy Implications (Santa Monica, Calif.: 2006).
[15] Reinsurance is essentially insurance for insurers--that is,
companies buy coverage for all or a part of a policy's liability from
other insurers in order to offset exposure.
[16] See [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-20].
[17] Under this program, for single-family properties, a severe
repetitive loss is defined as a property covered under a contract for
flood insurance that has incurred flood-related damage (1) for which
four or more separate claims payments have been made, with the amount
of each claim exceeding $5,000, and with the cumulative amount of such
claims payments exceeding $20,000, or (2) for which at least two
separate claims payments have been made, with the cumulative amount of
such claims exceeding the value of the property. 42 U.S.C. § 4102a(b).
[18] These programs include the Flood Mitigation Assistance Program,
the Repetitive Flood Claims Program, and the Severe Repetitive Loss
Program. Moreover, the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program and the Pre-
Disaster Mitigation Program are two additional hazard mitigation
programs that are not specific to flooding.
[19] RAND, The National Flood Insurance Program's Market Penetration
Rate.
[20] See [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-420R].
[21] RAND, The National Flood Insurance Program's Market Penetration
Rate.
[22] See [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-09-420R].
[23] See [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-08-7].
[24] See [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-11-297].
[End of section]
GAO's Mission:
The Government Accountability Office, the audit, evaluation and
investigative arm of Congress, exists to support Congress in meeting
its constitutional responsibilities and to help improve the performance
and accountability of the federal government for the American people.
GAO examines the use of public funds; evaluates federal programs and
policies; and provides analyses, recommendations, and other assistance
to help Congress make informed oversight, policy, and funding
decisions. GAO's commitment to good government is reflected in its core
values of accountability, integrity, and reliability.
Obtaining Copies of GAO Reports and Testimony:
The fastest and easiest way to obtain copies of GAO documents at no
cost is through GAO's Web site [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov]. Each
weekday, GAO posts newly released reports, testimony, and
correspondence on its Web site. To have GAO e-mail you a list of newly
posted products every afternoon, go to [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov]
and select "E-mail Updates."
Order by Phone:
The price of each GAO publication reflects GAO‘s actual cost of
production and distribution and depends on the number of pages in the
publication and whether the publication is printed in color or black and
white. Pricing and ordering information is posted on GAO‘s Web site,
[hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/ordering.htm].
Place orders by calling (202) 512-6000, toll free (866) 801-7077, or
TDD (202) 512-2537.
Orders may be paid for using American Express, Discover Card,
MasterCard, Visa, check, or money order. Call for additional
information.
To Report Fraud, Waste, and Abuse in Federal Programs:
Contact:
Web site: [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/fraudnet/fraudnet.htm]:
E-mail: fraudnet@gao.gov:
Automated answering system: (800) 424-5454 or (202) 512-7470:
Congressional Relations:
Ralph Dawn, Managing Director, dawnr@gao.gov:
(202) 512-4400:
U.S. Government Accountability Office:
441 G Street NW, Room 7125:
Washington, D.C. 20548:
Public Affairs:
Chuck Young, Managing Director, youngc1@gao.gov:
(202) 512-4800:
U.S. Government Accountability Office:
441 G Street NW, Room 7149:
Washington, D.C. 20548: